PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
WNBA
WNBA USA
12.06.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
12.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Portland Fire - Las Vegas Aces

USA Basketball
Portland Fire
Portland Fire
89 : 105
Finished
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portland Fire - Las Vegas Aces June 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Las Vegas Aces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.50 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 8.9%
2 91.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Portland Fire
#6GP 157-8
Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 1914-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Portland Fire
Overall LLLWL Net -8.8
Home LWL Net -7.5
Away LLW Net -10.8
Las Vegas Aces

Coach: Becky Hammon

Overall WWWWL Net +9.5
Home WWL Net -12.0
Away WWL Net +21.7

Team stats

Portland Fire Overall · Home/Away Las Vegas Aces
46.2%H 50.0% · A 40.0%Win %72.7%H 50.0% · A 85.7%
-8.8H -7.5 · A -10.8Point differential9.5H -12.0 · A 21.7
81.2H 81.9 · A 80.2Points per game90.2H 86.5 · A 92.3
85.6H 85.6 · A 85.6Conceded85.5H 92.5 · A 81.4
44.4%H 45.3% · A 43.0%FG, %48.0%H 44.0% · A 50.3%
30.8H 25.0 · A 40.01st half—H 75.0
80.2H 80.0 · A 80.4Pace84.0H 82.9 · A 84.6
100.5H 100.6 · A 100.4Offensive rating108.2H 109.0 · A 107.8
106.0H 106.0 · A 105.8Defensive rating102.5H 103.3 · A 102.1

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Portland Fire Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
81.2 Points per game 90.2
38.5%
O 82.5
81.8%
23.1%
O 83.5
81.8%
23.1%
O 84.5
72.7%
23.1%
O 85.5srednee
63.6%
23.1%
O 86.5
63.6%
23.1%
O 87.5
54.5%
23.1%
O 88.5
54.5%
23.1%
O 89.5
54.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Portland Fire Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
0.0%
O 101.5
9.1%
0.0%
O 102.5
9.1%
0.0%
O 103.5
9.1%
0.0%
O 104.5
9.1%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Portland Fire — / Las Vegas Aces 45.7

Portland Fire Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
30.8%
O 40.5
72.7%
30.8%
O 41.5
72.7%
30.8%
O 42.5
63.6%
23.1%
O 43.5srednee
54.5%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Portland Fire 42.4 / Las Vegas Aces 44.5

Portland Fire Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
53.8%
O 41.5
72.7%
53.8%
O 42.5
63.6%
53.8%
O 43.5srednee
54.5%
53.8%
O 44.5
54.5%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 12.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Portland Fire - Las Vegas Aces

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 4.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 165.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 166.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.60 62.5%
1.32 75.8%
2.05 48.8%
1.38 72.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.83 54.6%
2.55 39.2%
2.20 45.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.70 37.0%
2.55 39.2%
1.70 58.8%
1.88 53.2%
1.48 67.6%
1.42 70.4%
1.53 65.4%
1.40 71.4%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 165.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 166.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 167.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 168.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 169.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 170.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 171.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 172.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 173.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 174.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 175.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 176.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 177.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 178.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 179.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 180.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 181.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 182.5 1.52 65.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Bettery Fonbet
5.00 20.0% 4.00 25.0% 5.60 17.9% 2.02 49.5% 10.50 9.5%
1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.19 84.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.03 97.1%