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WNBA
WNBA USA
13.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
13.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Portland Fire - New York Liberty

USA Basketball
Portland Fire
Portland Fire
98 : 96
Finished
New York Liberty
New York Liberty

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portland Fire - New York Liberty May 13, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: New York Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.80 / 2 1.13

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 14.2%
2 85.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Portland Fire
#6GP 157-8
New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Portland Fire
2-3LWLWL
points for 81.9points against 88.8
New York Liberty
2-3WLLWL
points for 87.8points against 83.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Moda Central (Portlend)
Referee Bonner A. 🇺🇸 - Richardson R. 🇺🇸 - Dzhonson R. 🇺🇸
Attendance 12 836
Start 13.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Portland Fire - New York Liberty

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.46 market consensus · line only
1 5.08 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 169.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Over 170.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Bwin CloudBet Dafabet DraftKings Duelbits Mansion
1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% — — — — — — —
— — 1.95 51.2% 1.91 52.4% — — — — —
— — — — 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%
1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% — — — — — — —
— — 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% — — — — —
— — — — 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Bwin
Over 169.5 — — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 170.5 1.91 52.4% — 1.91 52.4% —
Over 171.5 — — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 172.5 1.91 52.4% — 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4%
Over 173.5 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% — —
Under 169.5 — — — 1.95 51.3%
Under 170.5 1.91 52.4% — 1.91 52.4% —
Under 171.5 — — — 1.95 51.3%
Under 172.5 1.91 52.4% — 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4%
Under 173.5 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Bwin CloudBet Dafabet DraftKings Duelbits
6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 1.13 88.9% 1.12 89.3% 5.80 17.2% 6.80 14.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.30 15.9%
1.13 88.9% 1.11 90.0% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1%