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WNBA
WNBA USA
21.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
21.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun

USA Basketball
Seattle Storm
Seattle Storm
78 : 80
Finished
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun May 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Connecticut Sun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / 2 1.52

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 37.8%
2 62.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Seattle Storm
#8GP 205-15
Connecticut Sun
#7GP 142-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Seattle Storm
3-2WWLWL
points for 84.0points against 86.8
Connecticut Sun
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
points for 77.3points against 85.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 21.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 Fonbet · line only
1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 155.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 156.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.80 35.7%
2.75 36.4%
1.72 58.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
3.00 33.3%
2.65 37.7%
3.30 30.3%
2.40 41.7%
2.65 37.7%
1.35 74.1%
1.38 72.5%
1.35 74.1%
1.38 72.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.65 60.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 155.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 156.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 157.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 158.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 159.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 160.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 161.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 162.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 163.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 164.5 3.20 31.3%
Over 165.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 166.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 167.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 168.5 3.05 32.8%
Over 169.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 170.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 171.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 172.5 2.45 40.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.50 40.0%
1.52 65.8%
Match center
Seattle Storm
L
13.05 23:00 UTC WNBA
Seattle Storm 73:86 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
73.0 Scored
86.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Connecticut Sun
L
19.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun 82:83 Portland FirePortland Fire
0 Wins
1 Losses
82.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySeattle Storm - Connecticut Sun

Seattle Storm
1 matches total
Connecticut Sun
Seattle Storm: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Connecticut Sun: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Seattle Storm 89:82 (10.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 171 goals (89:82, 10.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.05 17:00 UTC WNBA
Seattle Storm
89:82
Connecticut Sun