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WNBA
WNBA USA
23.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun

USA Basketball
Seattle Storm
Seattle Storm
77 : 59
Finished
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun May 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Seattle Storm. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 78.6%
2 21.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Seattle Storm
#8GP 205-15
Connecticut Sun
#7GP 142-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Seattle Storm
3-2WWLWL
points for 84.0points against 86.8
Connecticut Sun
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
points for 77.3points against 85.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 130.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 131.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.82 55.0%
1.60 62.5%
2.75 36.4%
2.35 42.6%
1.40 71.4%
2.00 50.0%
1.45 69.0%
3.00 33.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.40 71.4%
2.60 38.5%
2.25 44.4%
2.02 49.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 130.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 131.5 1.23 81.3%
Over 132.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 133.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 134.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 135.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 136.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 137.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 138.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 139.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 140.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 141.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 142.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 143.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 144.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 145.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 146.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 147.5 2.60 38.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.20 83.3%
4.40 22.7%
Match center
Seattle Storm
L
13.05 23:00 UTC WNBA
Seattle Storm 73:86 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
73.0 Scored
86.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Connecticut Sun
L
19.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun 82:83 Portland FirePortland Fire
0 Wins
1 Losses
82.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySeattle Storm - Connecticut Sun

Seattle Storm
2 matches total
Connecticut Sun
Seattle Storm: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Connecticut Sun: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Seattle Storm 89:82 (10.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 171 goals (89:82, 10.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

21.05 02:00 UTC WNBA
Seattle Storm
78:80
Connecticut Sun
10.05 17:00 UTC WNBA
Seattle Storm
89:82
Connecticut Sun