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WNBA
WNBA USA
11.06.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Seattle Storm - Los Angeles Sparks

USA Basketball
Seattle Storm
Seattle Storm
83 : 88
Finished
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles Sparks

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Seattle Storm - Los Angeles Sparks June 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Los Angeles Sparks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.00 / 2 1.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 13.4%
2 86.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Seattle Storm
#8GP 205-15
Los Angeles Sparks
#5GP 137-6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

37Wins32
53.6%Win %46.4%
75.7Points per game75.2
83.9Offensive rating79.4
83.4Defensive rating80.0
0.5Point differential-0.5
66.0Assists61.4
109.2Rebounds112.2
34.5%3-pointers, %30.5%

Team form

Seattle Storm
Overall LLLLL Net -14.2
Home LL Net -0.3
Away LLLL Net -26.0
Los Angeles Sparks
Overall WLLLW Net -4.7
Home WLLL Net -12.3
Away LW Net +8.5

Team stats

Seattle Storm Overall · Home/Away Los Angeles Sparks
23.1%H 33.3% · A 14.3%Win %45.5%H 28.6% · A 75.0%
-14.2H -0.3 · A -26.0Point differential-4.7H -12.3 · A 8.5
76.2H 77.3 · A 75.3Points per game88.7H 86.4 · A 92.8
83.3H 77.5 · A 88.3Conceded91.1H 92.6 · A 88.5
39.8%H 40.3% · A 39.3%FG, %47.1%H 46.4% · A 48.3%
23.1H 33.3 · A 14.31st half36.4H 28.6 · A 50.0
80.6H 78.3 · A 82.6Pace83.1H 82.5 · A 84.1
94.0H 96.1 · A 92.2Offensive rating106.4H 106.9 · A 105.6
102.7H 105.0 · A 100.8Defensive rating109.3H 109.8 · A 108.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Seattle Storm Total (over) Los Angeles Sparks
76.2 Points per game 88.7
30.8%
O 78.5
72.7%
30.8%
O 79.5
72.7%
23.1%
O 80.5
72.7%
23.1%
O 81.5
63.6%
23.1%
O 82.5srednee
63.6%
23.1%
O 83.5
63.6%
23.1%
O 84.5
63.6%
23.1%
O 85.5
63.6%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Seattle Storm — / Los Angeles Sparks 42.8

Seattle Storm Total (over) Los Angeles Sparks
61.5%
O 40.5
63.6%
46.2%
O 41.5
45.5%
46.2%
O 42.5srednee
36.4%
30.8%
O 43.5
36.4%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Seattle Storm — / Los Angeles Sparks 45.9

Seattle Storm Total (over) Los Angeles Sparks
23.1%
O 40.5
72.7%
23.1%
O 41.5
63.6%
23.1%
O 42.5
63.6%
23.1%
O 43.5srednee
63.6%

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Match center
Start 11.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Seattle Storm - Los Angeles Sparks

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 7.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 157.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
2.00 50.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.40 41.7%
1.90 52.6%
1.65 60.6%
2.35 42.6%
1.83 54.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.60 38.5%
1.37 73.0%
1.38 72.5%
1.42 70.4%
1.33 75.2%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.37 73.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 157.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 158.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 159.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 160.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 161.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 162.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 163.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 164.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 165.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 166.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 168.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 169.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 170.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 171.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 172.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 173.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 174.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet
3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 7.00 14.3%
1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.37 73.0% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Seattle Storm
L
30.05 17:00 UTC WNBA
Seattle Storm 72:93 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
72.0 Scored
93.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Los Angeles Sparks
W
07.06 23:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks 89:72 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
0 Losses
89.0 Scored
72.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage