WNBA
WNBA USA
04.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Seattle Storm - Phoenix Mercury

USA Basketball
Seattle Storm
Seattle Storm
68 : 72
Finished
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Seattle Storm - Phoenix Mercury June 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Phoenix Mercury. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.15 / 2 1.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 30.0%
2 70.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Seattle Storm
#8GP 205-15
Phoenix Mercury
#7GP 207-13

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

45Wins66
75.1Points on average79.6

Head-to-head matches: 111 · average total 154.7 (points)

Team form

Seattle Storm
3-2WWLWL
points for 84.0points against 86.8
Phoenix Mercury
2-3WWLLL
points for 81.1points against 86.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 04.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Seattle Storm - Phoenix Mercury

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.35 market consensus · line only
1 3.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome BetBoom
3.15 31.8%
1.35 74.1%
Match center
Seattle Storm
L
30.05 17:00 UTC WNBA
Seattle Storm 72:93 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
72.0 Scored
93.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage