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WNBA
WNBA USA
14.06.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Toronto (w) - Atlanta Dream

USA Basketball
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)
77 : 102
Finished
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toronto (w) - Atlanta Dream June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atlanta Dream. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 7.2%
2 92.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Toronto (w)
#4GP 147-7
Atlanta Dream
#1GP 1912-7

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Toronto (w)
Overall WWLWW Net +1.8
Home WWWL Net +11.0
Away LW Net -7.3
Atlanta Dream
Overall LLLWL Net -8.8
Home LWL Net -7.5
Away LLW Net -10.8

Team stats

Toronto (w) Overall · Home/Away Atlanta Dream
58.3%H 66.7% · A 50.0%Win %46.2%H 50.0% · A 40.0%
1.8H 11.0 · A -7.3Point differential-8.8H -7.5 · A -10.8
89.9H 85.8 · A 94.0Points per game81.2H 81.9 · A 80.2
89.0H 80.3 · A 97.7Conceded85.6H 85.6 · A 85.6
42.7%H 40.3% · A 45.0%FG, %44.4%H 45.3% · A 43.0%
41.7H 33.3 · A 50.01st half30.8H 25.0 · A 40.0
82.8H 83.9 · A 81.7Pace80.2H 80.0 · A 80.4
108.7H 107.8 · A 109.7Offensive rating100.5H 100.6 · A 100.4
107.6H 106.7 · A 108.6Defensive rating106.0H 106.0 · A 105.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Toronto (w) Total (over) Atlanta Dream
89.9 Points per game 81.2
66.7%
O 82.5
38.5%
66.7%
O 83.5
23.1%
66.7%
O 84.5
23.1%
58.3%
O 85.5srednee
23.1%
50.0%
O 86.5
23.1%
50.0%
O 87.5
23.1%
50.0%
O 88.5
23.1%
50.0%
O 89.5
23.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Toronto (w) Total (over) Atlanta Dream
25.0%
O 102.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 103.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 104.5
0.0%
25.0%
O 105.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 106.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 107.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 108.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 109.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Toronto (w) 41.8 / Atlanta Dream —

Toronto (w) Total (over) Atlanta Dream
58.3%
O 40.5
30.8%
58.3%
O 41.5srednee
30.8%
58.3%
O 42.5
30.8%
58.3%
O 43.5
23.1%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Toronto (w) 47.3 / Atlanta Dream 42.4

Toronto (w) Total (over) Atlanta Dream
58.3%
O 43.5
53.8%
58.3%
O 44.5srednee
53.8%
58.3%
O 45.5
38.5%
58.3%
O 46.5
23.1%

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Toronto (w) - Atlanta Dream

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 3.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 157.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.82 55.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.30 43.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.50 40.0%
1.85 54.1%
2.50 40.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%
1.57 63.7%
1.47 68.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 157.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 158.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 159.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 160.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 161.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 162.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 163.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 164.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 165.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 166.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 167.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 168.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 169.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 170.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 171.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 172.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 173.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 174.5 1.47 68.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet
3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.50 28.6% 13.00 7.7%
1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.01 99.0%