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WNBA
WNBA International
31.07.2026 00:00 UTC
31.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

Toronto (w) - Minnesota Lynx (w)

International Basketball
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)
- : -
Not started
Minnesota Lynx (w)
Minnesota Lynx (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Minnesota Lynx (w) — 80%

Pure model vs market (2 · Minnesota Lynx (w)): model 65% · market 82% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Toronto (w)19.9%
market18%
2 · Minnesota Lynx (w) ✓ Pick80.1%
market82%

Model estimate: win Toronto (w) 19.9%, win Minnesota Lynx (w) 80.1%. Model favourite — Minnesota Lynx (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toronto (w) - Minnesota Lynx (w) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Minnesota Lynx (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.25 / 2 1.16

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 18.1%
2 ✓ Pick 81.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 4.55 → 4.55
Pobeditel P2 1.20 → 1.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Toronto (w)
#11GP 2310-13PPG 89.7OPP 92.0
Minnesota Lynx (w)
#1GP 2317-6PPG 90.0OPP 80.9

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Toronto (w) - Minnesota Lynx (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Toronto (w) 18.8% 19.9%
Minnesota Lynx (w) 81.2% 80.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 19.9% / 80.1% probabilities
Rating 1,022 / 1,958 Toronto (w) / Minnesota Lynx (w)
RD 191 / 224 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 641-1,404 / 1,510-2,406 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 80.1%
1 5.25 Fonbet · no value · model 19.9%
Total
Over 178.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 179.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.96 51.0%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 2.37 42.2%
— — 2.37 42.2%
— — 1.44 69.4%
— — 1.44 69.4%
— — 1.51 66.2%
— — 1.58 63.3%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 178.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 179.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 180.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 181.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 182.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 184.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 186.5 — — 1.94 51.6%
Over 187.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Under 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
6.30 15.9% 6.30 15.9% 5.25 19.1% 5.30 18.9%
1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Toronto (w)
L L L L W
29.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 93:100 Minnesota (zh)
21.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 83:109 Las Vegas (zh)
17.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 92:111 Atlanta (zh)Atlanta (zh)
14.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 62:79 Vashington (zh)Vashington (zh)
12.07 19:00 UTC WNBA
Toronto (w) 93:91 Nyu-York (zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
84.6 Scored
98.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Minnesota Lynx (w)
W W W W W
29.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 100:93 Toronto (zh)Toronto (zh)
21.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 105:102 Sietl (zh)Sietl (zh)
19.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 99:91 Portlend (zh)
15.07 17:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 96:87 Los-Andzheles (zh)Los-Andzheles (zh)
14.07 01:00 UTC WNBA
Minnesota Lynx (w) 104:100 Finiks (zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
100.8 Scored
94.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToronto (w) - Minnesota Lynx (w)

Toronto (w)
1 matches total
Minnesota Lynx (w)
Toronto (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Minnesota Lynx (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Minnesota (zh) 93:100 (29.07 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 193 goals (93:100, 29.07 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

29.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Toronto (zh)
93:100
Minnesota (zh)