WNBA
WNBA International
15.07.2026 02:00 MSK
Finished

WNBA

Toronto (w) - Washington Mystics (w)

International Basketball
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)
62 : 79
Finished
Washington Mystics (w)
Washington Mystics (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Washington Mystics (w)52%

Pure model vs market (2 · Washington Mystics (w)): model 54% · market 68% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Toronto (w)48.2%
2 · Washington Mystics (w)51.8%

Model estimate: win Toronto (w) 48.2%, win Washington Mystics (w) 51.8%. Model favourite — Washington Mystics (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Washington Mystics (w) (odds1.58) Score 79:81 confidence 71% ✓ outcome correct
  • Торонто (ж): форма ВППП (1-3)
  • Вашингтон (ж): форма ВВ (2-0)
  • линия на пик П2 1.95→1.77 (укоротилась — деньги на пик)
  • Модель ставит на Вашингтон (ж): вероятность 52% против 54% по линии (кэф 1.84)
  • перевеса над линией нет (-3 пп) — прогноз информационный
  • Тотал: ТМ 165.5: модель ждёт суммарно ~160 очк
  • при линии 165.5 (кэф 2.33)
  • Фора Ф2 -1.5: прогноз счёта 79:81 (разница -2) покрывает линию (кэф 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toronto (w) - Washington Mystics (w) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Washington Mystics (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Washington Mystics (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Toronto (w) 48.2% / Washington Mystics (w) 51.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 46.6%
1 32.5%
2 67.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.85 ↑ 2.05
Победитель П2 1.95 ↓ 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Toronto (w)
#11GP 2310-13PPG 89.7OPP 92.0
Washington Mystics (w)
#8GP 2111-10PPG 81.2OPP 84.2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins2
75.0Points on average77.0

Head-to-head matches: 2 · average total 152.0 (points)

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 02:00 MSK
Form 5 matches
Match center

Toronto (w) - Washington Mystics (w)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 62:79
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Toronto (w) 48.4% 48.2%
Washington Mystics (w) 51.6% 51.8% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 48.2% / 51.8% probabilities
Rating 1,057 / 1,728 Toronto (w) / Washington Mystics (w)
RD 210 / 265 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 638-1,477 / 1,197-2,258 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 51.8%
1 2.06 market consensus · no value · model 48.2%
Total
Over 131.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +1.5 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
П1 +2.5 1.86 53.8%
П1 -1.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
П2 +1.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.45 69.0%
П2 -10.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 -2.5 1.94 51.6% 1.62 61.7%
П2 -3.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -4.5 1.43 69.9%
П2 -5.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -6.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -7.5 1.53 65.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 131.5 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 132.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 133.5 1.25 80.0%
ТБ 134.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 135.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 136.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 170.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 171.5 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 172.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 170.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
ТМ 171.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
ТМ 172.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.01 49.8% 2.10 47.6% 16.00 6.3% 2.07 48.3%
П2 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.01 99.0% 1.80 55.6%
Match center
Toronto (w)
W L L
12.07 22:00 МСК WNBA
Toronto (w) 93:91 Nyu-York (zh)
11.07 02:30 МСК WNBA
Toronto (w) 95:108 Dallas (zh)
09.07 02:00 МСК WNBA
Toronto (w) 73:83 Golden Steyt (zh)Golden Steyt (zh)
1 Wins
2 Losses
87.0 Scored
94.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Washington Mystics (w)
W
12.07 22:00 МСК WNBA
Washington Mystics (w) 84:79 Sietl (zh)Sietl (zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
84.0 Scored
79.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage