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WNBA
WNBA International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 23:30 UTC
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WNBA

Washington Mystics (w) - Dallas Wings (w)

International Basketball
Washington Mystics (w)
Washington Mystics (w)
- : -
Not started
Dallas Wings (w)
Dallas Wings (w)

Washington Mystics (w) take on Dallas Wings (w) on August 5, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Washington Mystics (w) 4-0-1, Dallas Wings (w) 2-0-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Dallas Wings (w)54%

Pure model vs market (2 · Dallas Wings (w)): model 43% · market 55% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Washington Mystics (w)45.8%
2 · Dallas Wings (w)54.2%

Model estimate: win Washington Mystics (w) 45.8%, win Dallas Wings (w) 54.2%. Model favourite — Dallas Wings (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington Mystics (w) - Dallas Wings (w) August 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dallas Wings (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.12 / 2 1.72

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 4 books · best price +1.2%
1 44.8%
2 55.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.12 → 2.12
Winner P2 1.72 → 1.72

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 44.8% @ 2.12 / 2 55.2% @ 1.72
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Washington Mystics (w) - Dallas Wings (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Washington Mystics (w) 44.9% 45.8%
Dallas Wings (w) 55.1% 54.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 45.8% / 54.2% probabilities
Rating 1,736 / 1,580 Washington Mystics (w) / Dallas Wings (w)
RD 163 / 199 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,410-2,062 / 1,181-1,979 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.72 Fonbet · no value · model 54.2%
1 2.12 Fonbet · no value · model 45.8%
Total
Over 160.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 161.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
2.37 42.2%
2.60 38.5%
2.80 35.7%
3.05 32.8%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
2.37 42.2%
1.51 66.2%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.44 69.4%
1.38 72.5%
1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 160.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 161.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 162.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 163.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 164.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 165.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 166.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 167.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 168.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 169.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 170.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 160.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 161.5 2.23 44.8%
Under 162.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 165.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5%
1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWashington Mystics (w) - Dallas Wings (w)

Washington Mystics (w)
2 matches total
Dallas Wings (w)
Washington Mystics (w): 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Dallas Wings (w): 1 (50%)
Biggest win Washington Mystics (w) 81:75 (2026-07-31) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 156 goals (81:75, 2026-07-31) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-31 WNBA 2026
Washington Mystics (w) 81:75 Dallas Wings (w)
31.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Vashington (zh)
59:57
Dallas (zh)