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WNBA
WNBA USA
02.07.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
02.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream

USA Basketball
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics
81 : 76
Finished
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Washington Mystics (odds1.22) Score 80:80 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Washington Mystics: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Atlanta Dream: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • ochnye 1 (za 2)
  • • Model backs Washington Mystics: probability 51%
  • • Total: Over 79.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 79.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +5.5: covers the line (odds 1.95).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream 2 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Washington Mystics. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.22 / 2 4.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 77.9%
2 22.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Washington Mystics
#4GP 189-9
Atlanta Dream
#1GP 1912-7

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

36Wins39
48.0%Win %52.0%
79.4Points per game79.6
81.5Offensive rating86.0
81.7Defensive rating85.8
-0.2Point differential0.2
56.7Assists55.8
112.3Rebounds116.3
34.5%3-pointers, %32.6%

Team form

Washington Mystics

Coach: Mike Thibault

Overall WLLWW Net -6.7
Home WLW Net +1.7
Away LWW Net -12.0
Atlanta Dream
Overall LLLWW Net +9.0
Home WW Net +19.0
Away LLLW Net +1.6

Team stats

Washington Mystics Overall · Home/Away Atlanta Dream
50.0%H 42.9% · A 54.6%Win %63.2%H 75.0% · A 54.6%
-6.7H 1.7 · A -12.0Point differential9.0H 19.0 · A 1.6
82.9H 90.3 · A 78.2Points per game88.3H 93.6 · A 84.5
86.2H 89.4 · A 84.2Conceded83.8H 84.1 · A 83.6
43.6%H 44.1% · A 43.3%FG, %43.3%H 45.9% · A 41.5%
33.3H 28.6 · A 36.41st half42.1H 50.0 · A 36.4
84.0H 89.6 · A 80.4Pace82.3H 83.8 · A 81.3
99.6H 93.4 · A 104.0Offensive rating106.9H 105.3 · A 108.0
103.6H 97.1 · A 108.2Defensive rating101.5H 100.0 · A 102.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Washington Mystics Total (over) Atlanta Dream
82.9 Points per game 88.3
55.6%
O 82.5
63.2%
55.6%
O 83.5
63.2%
50.0%
O 84.5
57.9%
44.4%
O 85.5среднее
57.9%
33.3%
O 86.5
47.4%
27.8%
O 87.5
47.4%
22.2%
O 88.5
47.4%
22.2%
O 89.5
47.4%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Washington Mystics Total (over) Atlanta Dream
5.6%
O 108.5
10.5%
5.6%
O 109.5
5.3%
5.6%
O 110.5
5.3%
5.6%
O 111.5
5.3%
5.6%
O 112.5
5.3%
5.6%
O 113.5
0.0%
5.6%
O 114.5
0.0%
5.6%
O 115.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Washington Mystics — / Atlanta Dream 42.3

Washington Mystics Total (over) Atlanta Dream
27.8%
O 40.5
47.4%
22.2%
O 41.5
47.4%
22.2%
O 42.5среднее
47.4%
22.2%
O 43.5
47.4%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Washington Mystics 41.8 / Atlanta Dream 46.0

Washington Mystics Total (over) Atlanta Dream
55.6%
O 42.5
57.9%
44.4%
O 43.5среднее
52.6%
44.4%
O 44.5
47.4%
44.4%
O 45.5
42.1%

Lineups and availability

Injuries and lineups

Washington Mystics
  • Sonia Citron GQuestionable
    Citron (knee) is questionable for Thursday's game against Atlanta.
  • Georgia Amoore G • SorenessQuestionable
    Amoore (knee) is questionable for Thursday's game against Atlanta.
Atlanta Dream
  • Aaliyah Nye GOut
    Nye (knee) is listed as out for Thursday's game against Washington.
  • Brionna Jones F • SurgeryOut
    The Dream expect Jones (knee) to resume team activities in the coming weeks, per Myles Ehrlich of Winsidr.com.

Injury and player availability data: ESPN. For reference.

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 151.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 152.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +1.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +10.5 2.75 36.4%
П2 +11.5 2.50 40.0%
П2 +12.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +13.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 +14.5 2.45 40.8%
П2 +15.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 +16.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 +2.5 3.10 32.3%
П2 +3.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +4.5 2.45 40.8%
П2 +5.5 2.90 34.5%
П2 +6.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +7.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -1.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -2.5 1.40 71.4%
П2 -3.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -4.5 1.25 80.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 151.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 152.5 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 153.5 1.42 70.4%
ТБ 154.5 1.53 65.4%
ТБ 155.5 1.25 80.0%
ТБ 156.5 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 157.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 158.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 159.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 160.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 161.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 162.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 163.5 3.05 32.8%
ТБ 164.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 165.5 2.75 36.4%
ТБ 166.5 3.20 31.3%
ТБ 167.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 168.5 2.50 40.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.22 82.0%
П2 4.30 23.3%
Match center
Washington Mystics
W
28.06 19:00 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics 124:122 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
0 Losses
124.0 Scored
122.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Atlanta Dream
W W
22.06 23:30 UTC WNBA
Atlanta Dream 94:87 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
14.06 19:00 UTC WNBA
Atlanta Dream 102:77 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
98.0 Scored
82.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWashington Mystics - Atlanta Dream

Washington Mystics
1 matches total
Atlanta Dream
Washington Mystics: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atlanta Dream: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atlanta Dream 77:109 (06.06 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 186 goals (77:109, 06.06 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

06.06 22:00 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics
77:109
Atlanta Dream