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WNBA
WNBA USA
08.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Washington Mystics - Indiana Fever

USA Basketball
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics
76 : 78
Finished
Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington Mystics - Indiana Fever June 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Indiana Fever. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.60 / 2 1.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 26.5%
2 73.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Washington Mystics
#4GP 189-9
Indiana Fever
#3GP 138-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

37Wins32
53.6%Win %46.4%
77.3Points per game76.6
86.3Offensive rating84.8
85.5Defensive rating85.6
0.7Point differential-0.7
59.3Assists59.7
109.6Rebounds105.6
34.9%3-pointers, %36.8%

Team form

Washington Mystics

Coach: Mike Thibault

Overall LWLWL Net -8.9
Home WLL Net +5.3
Away LWL Net -16.0
Indiana Fever
Overall LWLLW Net +5.2
Home WW Net +14.3
Away LLLW Net -8.5

Team stats

Washington Mystics Overall · Home/Away Indiana Fever
44.4%H 33.3% · A 50.0%Win %50.0%H 66.7% · A 25.0%
-8.9H 5.3 · A -16.0Point differential5.2H 14.3 · A -8.5
83.4H 90.0 · A 80.2Points per game89.2H 93.0 · A 83.5
87.9H 87.3 · A 88.2Conceded86.6H 85.8 · A 87.8
44.9%H 45.0% · A 44.8%FG, %44.5%H 45.7% · A 42.8%
44.4H 33.3 · A 50.01st half50.0H 50.0 · A 50.0
82.6H 85.1 · A 81.4Pace85.0H 86.7 · A 82.5
102.0H 98.3 · A 103.9Offensive rating104.0H 101.5 · A 107.9
107.4H 103.6 · A 109.5Defensive rating100.9H 98.5 · A 104.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Washington Mystics Total (over) Indiana Fever
83.4 Points per game 89.2
55.6%
O 82.5
90.0%
55.6%
O 83.5
80.0%
55.6%
O 84.5
70.0%
44.4%
O 85.5
70.0%
44.4%
O 86.5srednee
70.0%
33.3%
O 87.5
60.0%
33.3%
O 88.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 89.5
40.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Washington Mystics Total (over) Indiana Fever
11.1%
O 101.5
20.0%
11.1%
O 102.5
10.0%
11.1%
O 103.5
10.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Washington Mystics — / Indiana Fever 44.0

Washington Mystics Total (over) Indiana Fever
44.4%
O 40.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 41.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 42.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 43.5srednee
50.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Washington Mystics 41.1 / Indiana Fever 43.9

Washington Mystics Total (over) Indiana Fever
55.6%
O 40.5
60.0%
55.6%
O 41.5
60.0%
55.6%
O 42.5srednee
60.0%
33.3%
O 43.5
60.0%

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Match center
Start 08.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Washington Mystics - Indiana Fever

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 3.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 143.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 144.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
2.45 40.8%
2.80 35.7%
2.75 36.4%
2.02 49.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.40 41.7%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
2.10 47.6%
2.25 44.4%
1.50 66.7%
2.45 40.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.93 51.8%
2.25 44.4%
1.33 75.2%
1.31 76.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 143.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 144.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 145.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 146.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 147.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 148.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 149.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 150.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 151.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 152.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 153.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 154.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 155.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 156.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 157.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 158.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 159.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 160.5 1.98 50.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet
2.75 36.4% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.60 27.8%
1.47 68.0% 1.43 69.9% 1.48 67.6% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Indiana Fever
L
31.05 00:00 UTC WNBA
Indiana Fever 84:100 Portland FirePortland Fire
0 Wins
1 Losses
84.0 Scored
100.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWashington Mystics - Indiana Fever

Washington Mystics
1 matches total
Indiana Fever
Washington Mystics: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Indiana Fever: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Washington Mystics 104:102 (15.05 23:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 206 goals (104:102, 15.05 23:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

15.05 23:30 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics
104:102
Indiana Fever