WNBA
WNBA USA
10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Washington Mystics - New York Liberty

USA Basketball
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics
93 : 98
Finished
New York Liberty
New York Liberty

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington Mystics - New York Liberty May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: New York Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.70 / 2 1.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 16.7%
2 83.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Washington Mystics
#4GP 189-9
New York Liberty
#1GP 2012-8

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

33Wins42
75.3Points on average75.2

Head-to-head matches: 75 · average total 150.5 (points)

Team form

Washington Mystics
2-3LLLWW
points for 88.3points against 83.8
New York Liberty
2-3WLLWL
points for 87.8points against 83.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Washington Mystics - New York Liberty

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 156.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Over 157.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.91 52.4%
1.91 52.4%
1.98 50.5%
1.91 52.4%
1.95 51.3%
1.91 52.4%
1.91 52.4%
1.83 54.6%
2.01 49.8%
1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.81 55.4%
1.91 52.4%
1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 156.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 158.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1%
Over 161.5 1.91 52.4%
Over 162.5 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9%
Over 164.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
Over 165 1.91 52.4%
Over 165.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
Over 170.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 158.5 1.91 52.4%
Under 161.5 1.91 52.4%
Under 162.5 1.91 52.4%
Under 164.5 1.91 52.4%
Under 165 1.91 52.4%
Under 165.5 1.91 52.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
2.40 41.7% 2.87 34.9% 4.20 23.8% 1.42 70.6% 4.80 20.8% 1.05 95.2% 3.29 30.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7%
1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.3% 1.22 81.8% 2.95 33.9% 1.14 87.7% 8.75 11.4% 4.14 24.2% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Washington Mystics
W
08.05 23:30 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics 68:65 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
68.0 Scored
65.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage