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WNBA
WNBA USA
12.06.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
12.06.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA

USA

Washington Mystics - Toronto (w)

USA Basketball
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics
86 : 85
Finished
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington Mystics - Toronto (w) June 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Washington Mystics. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 86.4%
2 13.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Washington Mystics
#4GP 189-9
Toronto (w)
#4GP 147-7

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
68.0Points per game65.0
67.5Offensive rating65.4
64.6Defensive rating68.4
3.0Point differential-3.0
42.0Assists30.0
132.0Rebounds111.0
20.0%3-pointers, %20.0%

Team form

Washington Mystics

Coach: Mike Thibault

Overall LLWLW Net -8.4
Home LWLL Net +3.0
Away LW Net -16.0
Toronto (w)
Overall WWLWW Net +1.8
Home WWWL Net +11.0
Away LW Net -7.3

Team stats

Washington Mystics Overall · Home/Away Toronto (w)
40.0%H 25.0% · A 50.0%Win %58.3%H 66.7% · A 50.0%
-8.4H 3.0 · A -16.0Point differential1.8H 11.0 · A -7.3
82.7H 86.5 · A 80.2Points per game89.9H 85.8 · A 94.0
86.9H 85.0 · A 88.2Conceded89.0H 80.3 · A 97.7
44.7%H 44.5% · A 44.8%FG, %42.7%H 40.3% · A 45.0%
40.0H 25.0 · A 50.01st half41.7H 33.3 · A 50.0
82.6H 84.4 · A 81.4Pace82.8H 83.9 · A 81.7
101.5H 99.3 · A 103.0Offensive rating108.7H 107.8 · A 109.7
106.6H 104.3 · A 108.2Defensive rating107.6H 106.7 · A 108.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Washington Mystics Total (over) Toronto (w)
82.7 Points per game 89.9
50.0%
O 82.5
66.7%
50.0%
O 83.5
66.7%
50.0%
O 84.5
66.7%
40.0%
O 85.5
58.3%
40.0%
O 86.5srednee
50.0%
30.0%
O 87.5
50.0%
30.0%
O 88.5
50.0%
30.0%
O 89.5
50.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Washington Mystics Total (over) Toronto (w)
10.0%
O 102.5
25.0%
10.0%
O 103.5
25.0%
0.0%
O 104.5
25.0%
0.0%
O 105.5
25.0%
0.0%
O 106.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 107.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 108.5
8.3%
0.0%
O 109.5
8.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Washington Mystics — / Toronto (w) 41.8

Washington Mystics Total (over) Toronto (w)
40.0%
O 40.5
58.3%
30.0%
O 41.5srednee
58.3%
30.0%
O 42.5
58.3%
30.0%
O 43.5
58.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Washington Mystics 41.7 / Toronto (w) 47.3

Washington Mystics Total (over) Toronto (w)
60.0%
O 42.5
58.3%
40.0%
O 43.5
58.3%
40.0%
O 44.5srednee
58.3%
40.0%
O 45.5
58.3%

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Match center
Start 12.06.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

Washington Mystics - Toronto (w)

H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 149.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 150.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.45 40.8%
2.08 48.1%
2.30 43.5%
1.98 50.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.45 69.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.40 71.4%
1.40 71.4%
1.95 51.3%
1.82 55.0%
2.55 39.2%
1.98 50.5%
2.65 37.7%
2.75 36.4%
2.85 35.1%
2.75 36.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 149.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 150.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 151.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 152.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 153.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 154.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 155.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 156.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 157.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 158.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 159.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 160.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 161.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 162.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 163.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 164.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 165.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 166.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betfair Fonbet
1.77 56.5% 1.09 91.7%
2.24 44.6% 6.90 14.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWashington Mystics - Toronto (w)

Washington Mystics
1 matches total
Toronto (w)
Washington Mystics: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Toronto (w): 0 (0%)
Biggest win Washington Mystics 68:65 (08.05 23:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 133 goals (68:65, 08.05 23:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.05 23:30 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics
68:65
Toronto Tempo (Zh)