WNBA
Washington Mystics (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Washington Mystics (w) — 67%
Pure model vs market (1 · Washington Mystics (w)): model 61% · market 68% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Washington Mystics (w) 67.3%, win Connecticut Sun (w) 32.7%. Model favourite — Washington Mystics (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Vashington (zh): forma VVPPV (3-2)
- • Konnektikut (zh): forma PVP (1-2)
- • Model backs Vashington (zh): probability 55% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
- • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Over 159.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 159.5 (odds 2.15)
- • Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Washington Mystics (w) - Connecticut Sun (w) July 28, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.95
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Washington Mystics (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.94 51.6% | — | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| — | — | 2.37 42.2% | |
| — | — | 1.47 68.0% | |
| — | — | 1.41 70.9% | |
| — | — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.72 58.1% | |
| — | — | 1.64 61.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 151.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 155.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 156.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 157.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 159.5 | — | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Under 155.5 | 1.93 51.8% | — | — |
| Under 156.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Under 157.5 | 1.93 51.8% | — | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 71.4% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.43 69.9% | |
| 2.95 33.9% | 3.20 31.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 2.95 33.9% |
Form & head-to-head
Washington Mystics (w)
Golden Steyt (zh)
Golden Steyt (zh)
Portlend (Zh)
Toronto (zh)
Connecticut Sun (w)
Golden Steyt (zh)
Full head-to-head historyWashington Mystics (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)
Match history
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The Washington Mystics (w) - Connecticut Sun (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form