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WNBA
WNBA International
28.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

WNBA

Washington Mystics (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

International Basketball
Washington Mystics (w)
Washington Mystics (w)
- : -
Not started
Connecticut Sun (w)
Connecticut Sun (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Washington Mystics (w)67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Washington Mystics (w)): model 61% · market 68% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Washington Mystics (w) ✓ Pick67.3%
market68%
2 · Connecticut Sun (w)32.7%
market32%

Model estimate: win Washington Mystics (w) 67.3%, win Connecticut Sun (w) 32.7%. Model favourite — Washington Mystics (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Washington Mystics (w) (odds1.42) Score 81:79 Over 159.5 (odds2.15) Handicap H2 +5.5 (odds1.90) confidence 55%
  • Vashington (zh): forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • Konnektikut (zh): forma PVP (1-2)
  • Model backs Vashington (zh): probability 55% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 159.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 159.5 (odds 2.15)
  • Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington Mystics (w) - Connecticut Sun (w) July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Washington Mystics (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 ✓ Pick 67.8%
2 32.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.44 ↓ 1.40
Pobeditel P2 2.80 ↑ 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Washington Mystics (w) - Connecticut Sun (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Washington Mystics (w) 67.8% 67.3% market and model agree
Connecticut Sun (w) 32.2% 32.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 67.3% / 32.7% probabilities
Rating 1,764 / 1,430 Washington Mystics (w) / Connecticut Sun (w)
RD 211 / 236 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,342-2,185 / 957-1,902 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 32.7%
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 67.3%
Total
Over 150.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 151.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
2.37 42.2%
1.47 68.0%
1.41 70.9%
2.30 43.5%
2.07 48.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.64 61.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 150.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 151.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 152.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 153.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 154.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 155.5 1.87 53.5% 1.53 65.4%
Over 156.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.58 63.3%
Over 157.5 1.87 53.5% 1.65 60.6%
Over 158.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 159.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 155.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 156.5 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6%
Under 157.5 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.40 71.4% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9%
2.95 33.9% 3.20 31.3% 2.95 33.9% 2.95 33.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-7
2026-06-26 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 57:68 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2026-06-17 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 88:81 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2025-08-21 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 56:67 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2025-08-19 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 69:80 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2025-06-08 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 104:67 Konnektikut San (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Washington Mystics (w)
W W L L W
22.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics (w) 100:99 Las Vegas (zh)
21.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics (w) 90:82 Golden Steyt (zh)Golden Steyt (zh)
19.07 00:30 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics (w) 69:74 Golden Steyt (zh)Golden Steyt (zh)
16.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics (w) 54:75 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
14.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
Washington Mystics (w) 79:62 Toronto (zh)Toronto (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
78.4 Scored
78.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Connecticut Sun (w)
L W L
23.07 00:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun (w) 88:123 Indiana (zh)
18.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun (w) 96:81 Finiks (zh)
10.07 23:30 UTC WNBA
Connecticut Sun (w) 64:79 Golden Steyt (zh)Golden Steyt (zh)
1 Wins
2 Losses
82.7 Scored
94.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage