WNBA. Outrights
Washington - Phoenix Mercury (w)
Washington meet Phoenix Mercury (w) on August 9, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.
Recent form (W-D-L): Washington 4-0-1, Phoenix Mercury (w) 2-0-3. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Washington - Phoenix Mercury (w) August 9, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / 2 2.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Washington - Phoenix Mercury (w)
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.86 53.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 168.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 168.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.88 53.2% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.97 50.8% |
Form & head-to-head
Washington
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Full head-to-head historyWashington - Phoenix Mercury (w)
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form