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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
09.08.2026 19:00 UTC
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WNBA. Outrights

Washington - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Basketball
Washington
Washington
- : -
Not started
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)

Washington meet Phoenix Mercury (w) on August 9, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Washington 4-0-1, Phoenix Mercury (w) 2-0-3. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington - Phoenix Mercury (w) August 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Washington. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / 2 2.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 3 books · best price +1.6%
1 51.3%
2 48.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Washington
52%
1.88
Phoenix Mercury (w)
48%
2.00
Total
Over 168.5
50%
1.90
Under 168.5
50%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Washington
#4GP 2917-12
Phoenix Mercury (w)
#7GP 3212-20

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

14Wins30
81.1Points on average84.9

Head-to-head matches: 44 · average total 166.1 (points)

Team form

Washington
8-2WWLLWWWWWW
points for 82.6points against 79.6
Phoenix Mercury (w)
4-6LLLWWWLWLL
points for 84.2points against 90.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 09.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 51.5% @ 1.88 / 2 48.5% @ 2.00
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Washington - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.97 market consensus · line only
1 1.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 168.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 168.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 168.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 168.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2%
1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-6
2025-09-04 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 69:75 Finiks Merkuri (Zh)
2025-07-27 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 72:88 Finiks Merkuri (Zh)
2025-05-25 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 62:68 Finiks Merkuri (Zh)
2024-09-06 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 90:77 Finiks Merkuri (Zh)
2024-07-16 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 87:96 Finiks Merkuri (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Washington
W W W L
2026-08-05 WNBA 2026
Washington Washington 96:92 Dallas
2026-07-31 WNBA 2026
Washington Washington 81:75 Dallas
2026-07-28 WNBA 2026
Washington Washington 92:84 Connecticut
2026-07-16 WNBA 2026
Washington Washington 56:75 Portland Fire
3 Wins
1 Losses
81.3 Scored
81.5 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Phoenix Mercury (w)
L W W L
2026-08-05 WNBA 2026
Atlanta 96:82 Phoenix Phoenix Mercury (w)
2026-08-04 WNBA 2026
Chicago 101:106 Phoenix Phoenix Mercury (w)
2026-07-22 WNBA 2026
LA Sparks 82:86 Phoenix Phoenix Mercury (w)
2026-07-14 WNBA 2026
Minnesota 104:100 Phoenix Phoenix Mercury (w)
2 Wins
2 Losses
93.5 Scored
95.8 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWashington - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Washington
3 matches total
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Washington: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Phoenix Mercury (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Phoenix 72:88 (2025-07-27) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 160 goals (72:88, 2025-07-27) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2025-09-04 WNBA 2026
Washington 69:75 Phoenix
2025-07-27 WNBA 2026
Washington 72:88 Phoenix
2025-05-25 WNBA 2026
Phoenix 68:62 Washington