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South American Championship. Women. Group Phase
South American Championship. Women. Group Phase
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

South American Championship. Women. Group Phase

Brazil (w) - Venezuela (w)

Basketball
Brazil (w)
Brazil (w)
- : -
Not started
Venezuela (w)
Venezuela (w)

Brazil (w) face Venezuela (w) on August 6, 2026 in the South American Championship. Women. Group Phase.

Recent form (W-D-L): Brazil (w) 3-0-2, Venezuela (w) 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Brazil (w)50%

1 · Brazil (w)50.3%
2 · Venezuela (w)49.7%

Model estimate: win Brazil (w) 50.3%, win Venezuela (w) 49.7%. Model favourite — Brazil (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Brazil (w) (odds1.99) Score 81:79 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Brazil (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brazil (w) - Venezuela (w) August 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Brazil (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 7.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books
1 87.6%
2 12.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 87.6% @ 1.06 / 2 12.4% @ 7.50
Match center

Brazil (w) - Venezuela (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Brazil (w) - 50.3% model pick
Venezuela (w) - 49.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Brazil (w) / Venezuela (w)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.50 Fonbet · weak value +272.7% · model 49.7%
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Total
Over 136.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 137.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 136.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 137.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 138.5 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 139.5 1.90 52.6% 1.77 56.5%
Over 140.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Over 141.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 142.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 136.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 137.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 138.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 2.03 49.3%
Under 139.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 140.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3%
7.40 13.5% 9.90 10.1% 7.50 13.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-0
2023-10-26 · Brazil (Zh) 94:47 Venezuela (Zh)
2023-07-02 · Brazil (Zh) 90:76 Venezuela (Zh)
2021-06-17 · Brazil (Zh) 90:59 Venezuela (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Brazil (w)
W L W L W
2026-08-03 South American Championship, Women 2026, Group B
Brazil (w) Chile (w) 57:85 Brazil (w)
2026-03-17 World Cup, Women 2026, Qualification, Group A
Brazil (w) China (w) 83:71 Brazil (w)
2026-03-15 World Cup, Women 2026, Qualification, Group A
Brazil (w) Mali (w) 73:76 Brazil (w)
2026-03-14 World Cup, Women 2026, Qualification, Group A
Brazil (w) Brazil (w) 65:84 Czech Rep (w)
2026-03-12 World Cup, Women 2026, Qualification, Group A
Brazil (w) South Sudan (w) 79:94 Brazil (w)
3 Wins
2 Losses
78.2 Scored
75.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Venezuela (w)
W L L W W
2026-08-04 South American Championship, Women 2026, Group B
Venezuela (w) 62:51 Chile (w) Venezuela (w)
2024-09-07 South American Championship, Women 2024, Playoffs
Venezuela (w) 62:68 Colombia (w) Venezuela (w)
2024-09-07 South American Championship, Women 2024, Playoffs
Argentina (w) 69:66 Venezuela (w) Venezuela (w)
2024-09-04 South American Championship, Women 2024, Group B
Venezuela (w) 75:57 Paraguay (w) Venezuela (w)
2024-09-03 South American Championship, Women 2024, Group B
Ecuador 47:64 Venezuela (w) Venezuela (w)
3 Wins
2 Losses
65.8 Scored
58.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrazil (w) - Venezuela (w)

Brazil (w)
0 matches total
Venezuela (w)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history