South American Championship. Women. Group Phase
Brazil (w) - Venezuela (w)
Brazil (w) face Venezuela (w) on August 6, 2026 in the South American Championship. Women. Group Phase.
Recent form (W-D-L): Brazil (w) 3-0-2, Venezuela (w) 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Brazil (w) — 50%
Model estimate: win Brazil (w) 50.3%, win Venezuela (w) 49.7%. Model favourite — Brazil (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Brazil (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Brazil (w) - Venezuela (w) August 6, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 7.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Brazil (w) - Venezuela (w)
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | — | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.87 53.5% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.87 53.5% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 136.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 137.5 | — | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 138.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 139.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 140.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 141.5 | — | — | 1.94 51.6% |
| Over 142.5 | — | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 136.5 | — | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 137.5 | — | — | 1.94 51.6% |
| Under 138.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 139.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Under 140.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.05 95.2% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.06 94.3% | |
| 7.40 13.5% | 9.90 10.1% | 7.50 13.3% |
Form & head-to-head
Brazil (w)
Venezuela (w)
Full head-to-head historyBrazil (w) - Venezuela (w)
Match history
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The Brazil (w) - Venezuela (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form