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South American Championship. Women. Group Phase
South American Championship. Women. Group Phase
04.08.2026 00:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

South American Championship. Women. Group Phase

Colombia (w) - Argentina (w)

Basketball
Colombia (w)
Colombia (w)
- : -
Not started
Argentina (w)
Argentina (w)

Colombia (w) go head-to-head with Argentina (w) on August 4, 2026 in the South American Championship. Women. Group Phase.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Colombia (w) — 50%

1 · Colombia (w)50.3%
2 · Argentina (w)49.7%

Model estimate: win Colombia (w) 50.3%, win Argentina (w) 49.7%. Model favourite — Colombia (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Colombia (w) (odds1.99) Score 81:79 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Colombia (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colombia (w) - Argentina (w) August 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Argentina (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / 2 1.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 34.9%
2 65.1%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.65 → 2.65
Winner P2 1.42 → 1.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 34.9% @ 2.65 / 2 65.1% @ 1.42
Match center

Colombia (w) - Argentina (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Colombia (w) 34.9% 50.3% Glicko contrarian
Argentina (w) 65.1% 49.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Colombia (w) / Argentina (w)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.42 Fonbet · no value · model 49.7%
1 2.65 Fonbet · value +33.3% · model 50.3%
Total
Over 130.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 131.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 130.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 131.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 132.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 133.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 134.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 130.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 131.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 132.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 133.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 134.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.65 37.7%
1.42 70.4%