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South American Championship. Women. Group Phase
South American Championship. Women. Group Phase
04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

South American Championship. Women. Group Phase

Venezuela (w) - Chile (w)

Basketball
Venezuela (w)
Venezuela (w)
- : -
Not started
Chile (w)
Chile (w)

Venezuela (w) face Chile (w) on August 4, 2026 in the South American Championship. Women. Group Phase.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Venezuela (w) — 84%

Pure model vs market (1 · Venezuela (w)): model 52% · market 87% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Venezuela (w) ✓ Pick84.4%
market87%
2 · Chile (w)15.6%
market13%

Model estimate: win Venezuela (w) 84.4%, win Chile (w) 15.6%. Model favourite — Venezuela (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Venezuela (w) (odds1.99) Score 81:79 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Venezuela (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Venezuela (w) - Chile (w) August 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Venezuela (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / 2 6.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 86.9%
2 13.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.21 ↓ 1.07
Winner P2 3.90 ↑ 6.85

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 86.5% @ 1.07 / 2 13.5% @ 6.85
Form 1 matches
Match center

Venezuela (w) - Chile (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Venezuela (w) 86.9% 84.4% market and model agree
Chile (w) 13.2% 15.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 84.4% / 15.6% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,161 Venezuela (w) / Chile (w)
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 579-1,743 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.85 Fonbet · no value · model 15.6%
1 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 84.4%
Total
Over 131.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% —
— 1.86 53.8%
1.84 54.4% —
1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2%
1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% —
— 1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4% —
1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 131.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 132.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 133.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 134.5 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5%
Over 135.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 136.5 — — 1.94 51.6%
Over 137.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Under 131.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Under 132.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Under 133.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Under 134.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —
Under 135.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5%
7.00 14.3% 7.80 12.8% 6.85 14.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2023-10-28 · Venezuela (Zh) 79:70 Chile (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Venezuela (w)
L
02.08 17:00 UTC+0 South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Championship - Women
Venezuela (w) 12:23 Brazil (Zh)Brazil (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
12.0 Scored
23.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Chile (w)
L
02.08 17:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Championship - Women
Chile (w) 12:23 Brazil (Zh)Brazil (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
12.0 Scored
23.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVenezuela (w) - Chile (w)

Venezuela (w)
0 matches total
Chile (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history