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2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga Germany
04.04.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Arminia Bielefeld - SV Darmstadt 98

Germany Football
Stadium SchücoArena
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 1
Finished
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Darmstadt 98

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arminia Bielefeld - SV Darmstadt 98 April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arminia Bielefeld.

Line favourite market consensus: Arminia Bielefeld. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.61 / 2 2.84
  • 1X2 market: Arminia Bielefeld 41.5% / X 25.7% / SV Darmstadt 98 32.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 41.5%
X 25.8%
2 32.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 59.0%
Under 2.5 41.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Arminia Bielefeld - SV Darmstadt 98

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.61 market consensus · line only
1 2.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.79 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.45 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.25 44.4% 2.26 44.3% 2.23 44.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.70 27.0%
2.90 34.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.40 41.7% 2.41 41.5% 2.44 41.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.55 64.5% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% — 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5% — —
Over 2.75 — 1.83 54.6% —
Over 3.0 — 2.07 48.3% —
Over 3.5 2.50 40.0% — —
Over 4.5 4.33 23.1% — —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1% — —
Under 2.5 2.30 43.5% — —
Under 2.75 — 2.07 48.3% —
Under 3.0 — 1.83 54.6% —
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7% — —
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3% — —