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2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga Germany
05.04.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Braunschweig - 1. FC Nürnberg

Germany Football
Stadium Eintracht-Stadion
Capacity 24 474
Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 1
Finished
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Nürnberg
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 1. FC Nürnberg — 40%

1 · Eintracht Braunschweig33.0%
X · draw26.9%
2 · 1. FC Nürnberg40.1%

Model estimate: win Eintracht Braunschweig 33.0%, draw 26.9%, win 1. FC Nürnberg 40.1%. Model favourite — 1. FC Nürnberg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Braunschweig - 1. FC Nürnberg April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Braunschweig.

Line favourite market consensus: Eintracht Braunschweig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.45 / X 3.57 / 2 2.57
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Braunschweig 37.9% / X 26.1% / 1. FC Nürnberg 36.1%
  • Glicko: Eintracht Braunschweig 33.0% / X 26.9% / 1. FC Nürnberg 40.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 82.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 37.9%
X 26.0%
2 36.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 53.7%
Under 2.5 46.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 3/4
Confidence 38.8%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:2

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 11:30 UTC
Stadium Eintracht-Stadion (Braunschweig)
Capacity 24,474

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model 1. FC Nürnberg 40%
💹 Market Eintracht Braunschweig 3786%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Eintracht Braunschweig - 1. FC Nürnberg

Eintracht Braunschweig: Win 2.55 Eintracht Braunschweig: Draw 3.60 1. FC Nürnberg Win: 2.55 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.75 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.05 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Braunschweig bolshe 1.5: 2.20 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Brauns…

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 16
Statistics 24
Lineups 3
min Event Player Team
17' 17' Normal Goal | R. Nzingoula 1. FC Nürnberg
25' 25' Substitution 1 | S. Sane | assist/sub out: J. Mijatovic Eintracht Braunschweig
37' 37' Yellow Card | F. Gruber 1. FC Nürnberg
46' 46' Substitution 2 | G. Ranos | assist/sub out: A. Opoku Eintracht Braunschweig
51' 51' Goal cancelled | M. Aydin Eintracht Braunschweig
61' 61' Normal Goal Eintracht Braunschweig
68' 68' Yellow Card | T. Baack 1. FC Nürnberg
69' 69' Substitution 6 | M. Marie | assist/sub out: L. Tempelmann Eintracht Braunschweig
Metric Eintracht Braunschweig 1. FC Nürnberg SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.47 1.44 final
Zablokirovannye udary 5 3 final
Shots off target 6 6 final
Shots on target 5 1 final
Udary vsego 16 10 final
Fouls soversheno 13 23 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 2 final
Offsides 2 0 final
Eintracht Braunschweig #6 A. Marhiev, #22 R. Nzingoula
1. FC Nürnberg #25 G. Ranos
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig football.player.assists 0
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig Dribling popytki 6
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig Dribling uspeshno 2
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig Edinoborstva vsego 1
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig Edinoborstva vyigrano 11
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig Fouls soversheno 1
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig Fouls na igroke 1
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig Seyvy 0
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Marhiev Eintracht Braunschweig Klyuchevye pasy 39
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Eintracht Braunschweig 38.1% 33.0% market favourite
Draw 25.4% 26.9% draw risk
1. FC Nürnberg 36.5% 40.1% Glicko contrarian
xG - 1.18 : 1.33
Total 2.5 Over 82.7% - Under 17.3%
Model check - - Difference 0.05
The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 33.0% / 26.9% / 40.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,433 / 1,501 Eintracht Braunschweig / 1. FC Nürnberg
RD 76 / 75 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.57 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 40.1%
X 3.57 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.45 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 33.0%
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 67.0%
12 1.26 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 73.1%
1X 1.47 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 59.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · value +46.4% · model 82.7%
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · no value · model 17.3%
Both teams to score
No 2.21 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.45 40.8% 2.44 41.0% 2.46 40.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.52 39.7% 2.45 40.8%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.62 27.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.50 28.6%
2.60 38.5% 2.53 39.5% 2.57 38.9% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet William Hill
no 2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.21 45.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% — 1.19 84.0%
Over 2.5 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% —
Over 2.75 — 2.04 49.0% —
Over 3.5 2.88 34.7% — —
Over 4.5 5.50 18.2% — —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 1.5 4.00 25.0% — —
Under 2.5 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% —
Under 2.75 — 1.86 53.8% —
Under 3.5 1.40 71.4% — —
Under 4.5 1.14 87.7% — —
Match center
Eintracht Braunschweig
Founded 1895
1. FC Nürnberg
Founded 1900
Match center
Eintracht Braunschweig
SR S. Raebiger Jumpers knee
1. FC Nürnberg

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Eintracht Braunschweig Founded: 1895
1. FC Nürnberg Founded: 1900
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.