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2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga Germany
05.04.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Hannover 96 - SV Elversberg

Germany Football
Stadium Heinz von Heiden-Arena
Capacity 49 000
Hannover 96
Hannover 96
1 : 1
Finished
SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Hannover 96 — 41%

1 · Hannover 9641.3%
X · draw26.4%
2 · SV Elversberg32.4%

Model estimate: win Hannover 96 41.3%, draw 26.4%, win SV Elversberg 32.4%. Model favourite — Hannover 96.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hannover 96 - SV Elversberg April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hannover 96.

Strongest: Hannover 96 - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 3.50 / 2 2.94
  • 1X2 market: Hannover 96 41.8% / X 26.5% / SV Elversberg 31.6%
  • Glicko: Hannover 96 41.3% / X 26.4% / SV Elversberg 32.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 83.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 41.9%
X 26.5%
2 31.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5 56.1%
Under 2.5 43.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 41.9%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 11:30 UTC
Stadium Heinz von Heiden-Arena (Hannover)
Capacity 49,000

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Hannover 96 41%
💹 Market Hannover 96 4183%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Hannover 96 - SV Elversberg

Hannover 96: Win 2.10 Hannover 96: Draw 3.30 SV Elversberg Win: 2.90 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.62 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.25 Individualnyy total golov Hannover 96 bolshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total golov Hannover 96 menshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total …

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 18
Statistics 24
Lineups 3
min Event Player Team
20' 20' Own Goal | M. Rohr Hannover 96
46' 46' Substitution 2 | S. T. Thordarson | assist/sub out: I. Okon Hannover 96
46' 46' Substitution 3 | W. Taibi | assist/sub out: H. Chakroun Hannover 96
56' 56' Substitution 3 | L. Schnellbacher | assist/sub out: D. Mokwa SV Elversberg
56' 56' Penalty | L. Petkov SV Elversberg
57' 57' Substitution 4 | I. Pherai | assist/sub out: Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento Malanga SV Elversberg
65' 65' Substitution 5 | B. Pichler | assist/sub out: B. Kallman Slobodan Simović Hannover 96
73' 73' Substitution 7 | K. Oudenne | assist/sub out: H. Matsuda Hannover 96
Metric Hannover 96 SV Elversberg SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.82 1.14 final
Zablokirovannye udary 1 4 final
Shots off target 4 4 final
Shots on target 6 4 final
Udary vsego 11 12 final
Fouls soversheno 13 11 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 3 final
Offsides 2 1 final
SV Elversberg #22 I. Pherai
Player Team Metric SStats
Elias Saad Hannover 96 football.player.assists 0
Elias Saad Hannover 96 Dribling uspeshno 1
Elias Saad Hannover 96 Edinoborstva vyigrano 2
Elias Saad Hannover 96 Seyvy 0
Elias Saad Hannover 96 football.player.minutes_played 15
Elias Saad Hannover 96 Klyuchevye pasy 2
Elias Saad Hannover 96 Reyting (staryy) 6.2
Elias Saad Hannover 96 Otbory vsego 2
Elias Saad Hannover 96 Yellow cards 1
D. Mokwa SV Elversberg football.player.assists 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hannover 96 42.3% 41.3% market and model agree
Draw 26.1% 26.4% draw risk
SV Elversberg 31.6% 32.4%
xG - 1.38 : 1.19
Total 2.5 Over 83.6% - Under 16.4%
Model check - - Difference 0.01
The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.01

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 41.3% / 26.4% / 32.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,570 / 1,577 Hannover 96 / SV Elversberg
RD 76 / 77 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.94 market consensus · no value · model 32.4%
X 3.50 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.22 market consensus · no value · model 41.3%
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 58.7%
12 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 73.6%
1X 1.37 market consensus · no value · model 67.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.99 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · value +41.3% · model 83.6%
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · no value · model 16.4%
Both teams to score
No 2.30 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.25 44.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.46 28.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8%
2.95 33.9% 2.88 34.7% 2.98 33.6% 2.90 34.5% 3.05 32.8% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet William Hill
no 2.30 43.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% — 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 — — 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.0 — — 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9% — —
Over 2.75 — 1.93 51.8% —
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0% — —
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0% — —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5% — —
Under 2.75 — 1.97 50.8% —
Under 3.5 1.45 69.0% — —
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5% — —
Match center
Hannover 96
Founded 1896
SV Elversberg
Founded 1907
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.