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A-League
A-League Australia
04.04.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

A-League

Australia

Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory

Australia Football
Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
2 : 2
Finished
Perth Glory
Perth Glory

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Central Coast Mariners.

Line favourite market consensus: Central Coast Mariners. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.34 / X 3.51 / 2 2.79
  • 1X2 market: Central Coast Mariners 39.9% / X 26.6% / Perth Glory 33.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 39.9%
X 26.6%
2 33.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 55.0%
Under 2.5 45.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.79 market consensus · line only
X 3.51 market consensus · line only
1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.74 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.30 43.5% 2.39 41.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.75 26.7% 3.58 27.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
2.84 35.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.91 34.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.25 44.4% 2.26 44.3% 2.28 43.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.24 44.6%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% — 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% — 1.19 84.0%
Over 1.75 — — 1.24 80.7%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8% — —
Over 2.75 — 1.98 50.5% —
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7% — —
Over 4.5 5.25 19.1% — —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% — —
Under 2.75 — 1.92 52.1% —
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4% — —
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0% — —