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A-League
A-League Australia
04.04.2026 08:35 UTC
Finished

A-League

Australia

Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers

Australia Football
Stadium AAMI Park
Melbourne City
Melbourne City
3 : 0
Finished
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western Sydney Wanderers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Melbourne City.

Line favourite market consensus: Melbourne City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.65 / 2 3.45
  • 1X2 market: Melbourne City 47.2% / X 25.7% / Western Sydney Wanderers 27.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 47.3%
X 25.6%
2 27.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 55.1%
Under 2.5 44.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 08:35 UTC
Match center

Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.45 market consensus · line only
X 3.65 market consensus · line only
1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.33 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.21 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.97 50.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.76 26.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3%
3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.58 63.3% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.75 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.0 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 2.75 1.99 50.3%
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.75 1.91 52.4%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0%