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Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage
Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage
05.08.2026 20:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Match in progress

Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage

Malawi (w) - Zambia (w)

Football
M
Malawi (w)
- : -
Match in progress
Zambia (w)
Zambia (w)

Malawi (w) meet Zambia (w) on August 5, 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Malawi (w) 2-1-2, Zambia (w) 1-2-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Zambia (w) — 48%

Pure model vs market (2 · Zambia (w)): model 39% · market 48% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Malawi (w)27.8%
X · draw24.5%
2 · Zambia (w)47.7%

Model estimate: win Malawi (w) 27.8%, draw 24.5%, win Zambia (w) 47.7%. Model favourite — Zambia (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Zambia (w) (odds2.67) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Zambiya (Zh): probability 50% vs 37% on the line (odds 2.67)
  • • edge over the line +13 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Malawi (w) - Zambia (w) August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zambia (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.40 / X 12.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7% 4 books · best price +1.6%
1 27.1%
X 24.5%
2 48.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Africa Cup of Nations - Women
League table
Malawi (w)
#46 ptsGP 22-0-06:3
Zambia (w)
#83 ptsGP 21-0-16:1
AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Malawi (w) 2 : 2 Zambia (w)
13.32
X3.68
21.89

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:2 · 61'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 21:43 UTC
1 33%
X 24%
2 43% ✓ favourite
Score2:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Over 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-3
Claude updated03.08.2026 21:48 UTC
1 29%
X 24%
2 47% ✓ favourite
Score1:1 Total goals: Over 1.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance X2 (Zambiya ne proigraet) pri 71%

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 33% 24% 43% 2:2 Over 2.5 Yes Over 2.5
Claude 29% 24% 47% 1:1 Over 1.5 Yes Double chance X2 (Zambiya ne proigraet) pri 71%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 21.5% @ 3.40 / X 6.1% @ 12.00 / 2 72.4% @ 1.01
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Zambia (w) 45%
📐 Math model Zambia (w) 48%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Malawi (w) - Zambia (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Malawi (w) 27.2% 27.8%
Draw 24.6% 24.5% draw risk
Zambia (w) 48.2% 47.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.8% / 24.5% / 47.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,532 / 1,648 Malawi (w) / Zambia (w)
RD 223 / 175 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,087-1,978 / 1,297-1,999 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 47.7%
X 3.67 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.34 market consensus · no value · model 27.8%
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 75.5%
1X 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +397.2% · model 52.3%
X2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 72.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.43 69.9% 2.38 42.0%
yes 2.60 38.5% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.71 58.5% 1.80 55.6% 9.50 10.5%
x2 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.06 94.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.83 26.1%
X 2.29 43.7%
2.42 41.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.54 64.9%
Over 1.5 2.31 43.3%
Under 1 2.32 43.1%
Under 1.5 1.54 64.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 5.0 gls
2025-02-22 · Malavi (Zh) 3:2 Zambiya (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.2 (Betcity) · X 3.5 (Pari) · 2 2.17 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3 3.5 2.05
Winline 3.05 3.35 2.16
Fonbet 3 3.5 2.05
Betcity 3.2 3.4 2.1
Liga Stavok 3 3.35 2.17
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Malawi (w)
W W D L L
2026-08-01 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group C
Malawi (w) Egypt (w) 1:3 Malawi (w)
2026-07-28 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group C
Malawi (w) Nigeria (w) 2:3 Malawi (w)
2026-06-06 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Malawi (w) Tanzania (w) 0:0 Malawi (w)
2026-06-03 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Malawi (w) Tanzania (w) 1:0 Malawi (w)
2026-04-15 FIFA Series, Women 2026, Kenya
Malawi (w) Malawi (w) 2:3 India (w)
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Zambia (w)
L W L D D
2026-08-01 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group C
Nigeria (w) 1:0 Zambia (w) Zambia (w)
2026-07-28 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group C
Zambia (w) 6:0 Egypt (w) Zambia (w)
2026-07-22 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Algeria (w) 1:0 Zambia (w) Zambia (w)
2026-07-19 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Algeria (w) 1:1 Zambia (w) Zambia (w)
2026-06-06 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Zambia (w) 1:1 Kenya (w) Zambia (w)
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMalawi (w) - Zambia (w)

Malawi (w)
0 matches total
Zambia (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history