Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage
Mali (Zh) - Cape Verde (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Mali (Zh) — 60%
Model estimate: win Mali (Zh) 60.1%, draw 18.4%, win Cape Verde (w) 21.5%. Model favourite — Mali (Zh).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Mali (Zh): probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
- • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mali (Zh) - Cape Verde (w) July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Mali (Zh) - Cape Verde (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Mali (Zh)
Cape Verde (w)
Ghana (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyMali (Zh) - Cape Verde (w)
Match history
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The Mali (Zh) - Cape Verde (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form