PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage
Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage
03.08.2026 20:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Not started

Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage

Senegal W - Morocco W

Football
Senegal W
Senegal W
- : -
Not started
Morocco W
Morocco W

Senegal W go head-to-head with Morocco W on August 3, 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Senegal W 0-1-1, Morocco W 1-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Morocco W — 62%

Pure model vs market (2 · Morocco W): model 55% · market 63% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Senegal W15.3%
market15%
X · draw22.4%
market23%
2 · Morocco W ✓ Pick62.3%
market63%

Model estimate: win Senegal W 15.3%, draw 22.4%, win Morocco W 62.3%. Model favourite — Morocco W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Morocco W (odds2.04) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Morocco (Zh): probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Senegal W - Morocco W August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Morocco W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.30 / X 4.10 / 2 1.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2% 3 books
1 14.7%
X 22.5%
2 ✓ Pick 62.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Africa Cup of Nations - Women
League table
Senegal W
#93 ptsGP 21-0-11:2
Morocco W
#16 ptsGP 22-0-05:0
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Senegal W
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 0.97 Conceded 0.88
Morocco W
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.13 Conceded 1.10

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 14.7% @ 6.30 / X 22.5% @ 4.10 / 2 62.8% @ 1.47
Match center

Senegal W - Morocco W

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Senegal W 14.7% 15.3%
Draw 22.5% 22.4% draw risk
Morocco W 62.8% 62.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 15.3% / 22.4% / 62.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,295 / 1,770 Senegal (w) / Morocco (w)
RD 201 / 180 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 892-1,697 / 1,409-2,131 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 62.3%
X 4.02 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.17 market consensus · no value · model 15.3%
Double chance
12 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 77.6%
1X 2.43 market consensus · no value · model 37.7%
X2 1.06 market consensus · no value · model 84.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.81 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.74 57.5%
yes 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.14 87.7% 1.19 84.0%
1x 2.35 42.6% 2.50 40.0%
x2 1.04 96.2% 1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
6.10 16.4%
X 2.20 45.5%
2.03 49.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.83 54.6%
Under 1 1.87 53.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-3, avg 3.0 gls
2025-07-12 · Senegal (Zh) 0:1 Morocco (Zh)
2024-10-29 · Senegal (Zh) 0:7 Morocco (Zh)
2022-07-08 · Senegal (Zh) 0:1 Morocco (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Senegal W
D L
30.07 17:00 UTC Africa: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings
Senegal W 0:0 Keniya (Zh)
26.07 15:00 UTC Africa: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings
Senegal W 0:2 Algeria (Zh)Algeria (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Morocco W
D W
30.07 20:00 UTC Africa: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings
Morocco W 0:0 Algeria (Zh)Algeria (Zh)
26.07 18:00 UTC Africa: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings
Morocco W 4:0 Keniya (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySenegal W - Morocco W

Senegal W
0 matches total
Morocco W
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history