Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage
South Africa (w) - Ivory Coast (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Ivory Coast (w) — 72%
Pure model vs market (2 · Ivory Coast (w)): model 40% · market 32% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win South Africa (w) 13.9%, draw 14.4%, win Ivory Coast (w) 71.6%. Model favourite — Ivory Coast (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Kot-d'Ivuar (Zh): probability 59% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.13)
- • edge over the line +27 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction South Africa (w) - Ivory Coast (w) July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.18 / 2 2.85
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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South Africa (w) - Ivory Coast (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.76 56.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.90 34.5% | |
| X | 2.05 48.8% |
| 3.59 27.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.89 52.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.81 55.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 2.05 48.8% |
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.3 | 3 | 2.9 |
| Winline | 2.32 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Fonbet | 2.3 | 3 | 2.9 |
| Betcity | 2.05 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.35 | 3.15 | 2.9 |
Ivory Coast (w)
Full head-to-head historySouth Africa (w) - Ivory Coast (w)
Match history
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The South Africa (w) - Ivory Coast (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form