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Start
04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
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Prematch data
–Line
✓Form
–H2H
✓Prediction
04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup - Playoff
Jamus - Rayon Sports
J
Jamus
0
:
0
Finished
R
Rayon Sports
Jamus take on Rayon Sports on August 4, 2026 in the Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup - Playoff.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 31% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Rayon Sports — 49%
Model estimate: win Jamus 30.9%, draw 20.2%, win Rayon Sports 48.9%. Model favourite — Rayon Sports.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Rayon Sports (odds2.48)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Rayon Sport: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.48)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Jamus - Rayon Sports August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Jamus 30.9% / X 20.2% / Rayon Sports 48.9%
SStats data
Statistics and model
CECAFA Club CupLeague table
Jamus
Rayon Sports
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Match center
Jamus - Rayon Sports
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
away - 48.9% fact: draw
missed / Brier 0.971 / LogLoss 1.599
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
away - 48.9% fact: draw
missed / Brier 0.971 / LogLoss 1.599
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Jamus
-
30.9%
Draw
-
20.2%
draw risk
Rayon Sports
-
48.9%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
30.9% / 20.2% / 48.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,536 / 1,698
Jamus / Rayon Sports
RD
209 / 253
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,117-1,955 / 1,191-2,205
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.09
Fonbet · no value · model 48.9%
X
7.40
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12
1.06
Fonbet · no value · model 79.8%
1X
6.10
Fonbet · weak value +211.6% · model 51.1%
X2
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 69.1%
Handicap
2 0
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1 0
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.30
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.25
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.30 76.9% |
| yes | 3.25 30.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.06 94.3% |
| 1x | 6.10 16.4% |
| x2 | 1.01 99.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 7.60 13.2% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.05 95.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.75 36.4% |
| Over 4.5 | 10.50 9.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.05 32.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
Match center
Jamus
D
D
W
Jamus
0:0
Mogadisho Siti
Jamus
0:0
Simba
Jamus
2:0
Singida Blek Stars
1
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
0.7
Scored
0.0
Conceded
5
Points
Rayon Sports
W
W
Rayon Sports
1:0
Tasker
Rayon Sports
2:0
KVZ
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.5
Scored
0.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyJamus - Rayon Sports
Jamus
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form