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Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup - Playoff
Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup - Playoff
07.08.2026 16:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 16:00 UTC
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Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup - Playoff

Rayon Sports - Gor Mahia

Football
R
Rayon Sports
- : -
Not started
G
Gor Mahia

Rayon Sports face Gor Mahia on August 7, 2026 in the Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup - Playoff.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rayon Sports 0-1-0, Gor Mahia 0-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rayon Sports — 54%

1 · Rayon Sports53.5%
X · draw20.2%
2 · Gor Mahia26.3%

Model estimate: win Rayon Sports 53.5%, draw 20.2%, win Gor Mahia 26.3%. Model favourite — Rayon Sports.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rayon Sports (odds2.38) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Model backs Rayon Sport: probability 54% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.38)
  • • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayon Sports - Gor Mahia August 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayon Sports. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.20 / 2 2.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 38.3%
X 28.5%
2 33.2%

Odds source: Betcity line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 38.3% @ 2.38 / X 28.5% @ 3.20 / 2 33.2% @ 2.75
Match center

Rayon Sports - Gor Mahia

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rayon Sports 38.3% 53.5% market and model agree
Draw 28.5% 20.2% draw risk
Gor Mahia 33.2% 26.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.5% / 20.2% / 26.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,671 / 1,624 Rayon Sports / Gor Mahia
RD 218 / 194 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,234-2,108 / 1,235-2,012 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · no value · model 26.3%
X 3.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.38 market consensus · value +27.4% · model 53.5%
Double chance
12 1.30 market consensus · weak value +3.8% · model 79.8%
1X 1.39 market consensus · weak value +2.4% · model 73.7%
X2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 46.5%
Handicap
2 0 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.39 71.9%
x2 1.51 66.2%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.73 57.8%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
2.38 42.0%
X 3.20 31.3%
2.75 36.4%
Match center
Rayon Sports
D
04.08 17:00 UTC Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup - Playoff
Rayon Sports 0:0 Jamus
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Gor Mahia
D
03.08 13:00 UTC Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup - Playoff
Gor Mahia 1:1 Al-KhilyalAl-Khilyal
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayon Sports - Gor Mahia

Rayon Sports
0 matches total
Gor Mahia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history