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Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup Standings
Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup Standings
29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup Standings

Tusker - Rayon Sport

Football
T
Tusker
- : -
Not started
R
Rayon Sport
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rayon Sport — 56%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rayon Sport): model 50% · market 56% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Tusker17.6%
X · draw26.7%
2 · Rayon Sport ✓ Pick55.7%

Model estimate: win Tusker 17.6%, draw 26.7%, win Rayon Sport 55.7%. Model favourite — Rayon Sport.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rayon Sport (odds1.61) Score 1:2 confidence 57%
  • • Model backs Rayon Sport: probability 57% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tusker - Rayon Sport July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayon Sport. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.40 / X 3.39 / 2 1.62

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 16.9%
X 26.9%
2 ✓ Pick 56.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Tusker 1 : 1 Rayon Sport
15.39
X3.44
21.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Tusker - Rayon Sport

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tusker 16.9% 17.6%
Draw 27.1% 26.7% draw risk
Rayon Sport 56.0% 55.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 17.6% / 26.7% / 55.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,328 / 1,658 Tusker / Rayon Sport
RD 225 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 878-1,777 / 1,076-2,240 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 55.7%
X 3.35 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.35 market consensus · no value · model 17.6%
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%
1X 2.17 market consensus · no value · model 44.3%
X2 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 82.4%
Handicap
2 -1 2.15 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.21 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 3.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.21 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.59 62.9%
yes 2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.29 77.5%
1x 2.17 46.1%
x2 1.12 89.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
6.20 16.1%
X 2.01 49.8%
2.21 45.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 1 2.18 45.9%
Under 0.5 2.61 38.3%
Under 1 1.61 62.1%
Match center
Tusker
L
26.07 11:00 UTC Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup Standings
Tusker 0:2 Al-KhilyalAl-Khilyal
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Rayon Sport
W
26.07 14:00 UTC Africa: CECAFA Kagame Cup Standings
Rayon Sport 2:0 KVZ
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTusker - Rayon Sport

Tusker
0 matches total
Rayon Sport
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history