Burkina Faso W face South Africa W on August 4, 2026 in the Africa: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Burkina Faso W 0-0-1, South Africa W 0-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Burkina Faso W — 53%
53%1
1 · Burkina Faso W52.9%
X · draw19.6%
2 · South Africa W27.5%
Model estimate: win Burkina Faso W 52.9%, draw 19.6%, win South Africa W 27.5%. Model favourite — Burkina Faso W.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Burkina Faso W (odds2.32)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Burkina-Faso (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.32)
•edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Burkina Faso W - South Africa W August 4, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: South Africa W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.0%
114.2%
X22.6%
263.2%
Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Africa Cup of Nations - Women
League table
Burkina Faso W
#123 ptsGP 21-0-13:5
South Africa W
#131 ptsGP 20-1-13:4
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Burkina Faso W
W-D-L 1-1-3Scored 1.19Conceded 2.07
South Africa W
W-D-L 4-4-2Scored 1.50Conceded 1.00
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Burkina Faso W1:1South Africa W
17.04
X4.25
21.38
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Burkina Faso W13.2%52.9%Glicko contrarian
Draw21.8%19.6%draw risk
South Africa W65.0%27.5%market favourite
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P252.9% / 19.6% / 27.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,481 / 1,459
Burkina Faso (w) / South Africa (w)
RD300 / 211
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD881-2,080 / 1,036-1,882
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.44
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 27.5%
X4.02
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
16.40
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 52.9%
Handicap
2 -11.70
market consensus · line only
1 +12.00
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.51.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.51.89
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No1.76
market consensus · line only
Yes1.96
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
Outcome
Leon
no
1.7656.8%
yes
1.9651.0%
First Half Winner
Outcome
Leon
6.3015.9%
X
2.2843.9%
1.9551.3%
Goals Over/Under First Half
Outcome
Leon
Over 1
1.7557.1%
Under 1
1.9651.0%
Handicap
Outcome
Leon
2.0050.0%
1.7058.8%
Match center
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 6.2 (Betcity) · X 4 (Betcity) · 2 1.93 (Fonbet)
Bookmaker
1
X
2
Pari
5.4
3.85
1.5
Winline
5.2
3.7
1.56
Fonbet
3.45
3.3
1.93
Betcity
6.2
4
1.49
Liga Stavok
5.2
3.75
1.58
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Burkina Faso W
L
27.07 18:00 UTCAfrica: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings
Burkina Faso W0:5Kot-d'Ivuar (Zh)
0Wins
0Draws
1Losses
0.0Scored
5.0Conceded
0Points
South Africa W
DL
31.07 15:00 UTCAfrica: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings
South Africa W0:0Kot-d'Ivuar (Zh)
27.07 15:00 UTCAfrica: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings
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Kot-d'Ivuar (Zh)
