Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage
Ghana (w) - Cameroon (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ghana (w) — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ghana (w)): model 40% · market 49% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ghana (w) 48.2%, draw 27.8%, win Cameroon (w) 24.0%. Model favourite — Ghana (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.23)
- • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ghana (w) - Cameroon (w) August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.30 / 2 4.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Ghana (w) - Cameroon (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.67 59.9% |
| yes | 2.08 48.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.16 86.2% | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 1.72 58.1% | 1.80 55.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.58 38.8% | |
| X | 1.93 51.8% |
| 4.90 20.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.24 44.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.58 63.3% |
Ghana (w)
Cape Verde (Zh)
Cameroon (w)
Full head-to-head historyGhana (w) - Cameroon (w)
Match history
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The Ghana (w) - Cameroon (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form