Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Belgrano go head-to-head with Argentinos Juniors on August 1, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Belgrano 3-2-0, Argentinos Juniors 4-1-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Belgrano the favourite at about 39%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Belgrano — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · Belgrano): model 40% · market 39% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Belgrano 39.1%, draw 32.2%, win Argentinos Juniors 28.7%. Model favourite — Belgrano.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Belgrano.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.40 41.7% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | |
| X | 2.92 34.3% | 3.02 33.1% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.90 34.5% |
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.31 30.2% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.06 94.3% | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 6.80 14.7% | 2.26 44.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 10.50 9.5% |
| x2 | 1.52 65.8% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 0_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 2_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 3_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 3_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 3_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
Full head-to-head historyBelgrano - Argentinos Juniors
Belgrano Argentinos Khuniors 21 Games 21 12 Wins 12 5 Draws 5 4 Losses 4 26 Scored 27 17 Conceded 16 41 Points 41 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12.17 Shots on goal 14.4 3.43 Udary v stvor 4.76 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.67 Uglovye 5.38 1.57 Offsaydy 2.19 10.71 Foly 10.57 50.14 % vladeniya myachom 60.19 2.1 Warnings 2.24 0.19 Sendoffs 0.1 Goly Fransisko Alvares Gabriel Florentin 0:1 45+3' Nakazaniya Franko Vaskes 27' Franko Vaskes 37' Tomas Molina 54'
The Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
