Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Belgrano Cordoba — 48%
Model estimate: win Belgrano Cordoba 48.5%, draw 19.4%, win Argentinos JRS 32.1%. Model favourite — Belgrano Cordoba.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.54 64.9% |
| yes | 2.38 42.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.42 70.4% |
| 1x | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% |
| x2 | 1.51 66.2% | 1.51 66.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.42 29.2% | |
| X | 1.85 54.1% |
| 4.05 24.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.11 47.4% |
Full head-to-head historyBelgrano Cordoba - Argentinos JRS
Belgrano Argentinos Khuniors 21 Games 21 12 Wins 12 5 Draws 5 4 Losses 4 26 Scored 27 17 Conceded 16 41 Points 41 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12.17 Shots on goal 14.4 3.43 Udary v stvor 4.76 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.67 Uglovye 5.38 1.57 Offsaydy 2.19 10.71 Foly 10.57 50.14 % vladeniya myachom 60.19 2.1 Warnings 2.24 0.19 Sendoffs 0.1 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Rikardo Alberto Zelinski Glavnye trenery No dannykh CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1291264' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings
The Belgrano Cordoba - Argentinos JRS breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
