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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Clausura. 3-y Round 04.08.2026 00:15 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 00:15 UTC Clausura. 3-y Round
Finished

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Central Cordoba SdE - San Lorenzo Almagro

Football
Central Cordoba SdE
Central Cordoba SdE
1 : 0
Finished
San Lorenzo Almagro
San Lorenzo Almagro

Central Cordoba SdE take on San Lorenzo Almagro on August 4, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Central Cordoba SdE 1-1-3, San Lorenzo Almagro 1-2-2. Sportsbooks lean towards San Lorenzo Almagro, an implied 37% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 32% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 San Lorenzo Almagro — 36%

Pure model vs market (2 · San Lorenzo Almagro): model 28% · market 37% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Central Cordoba SdE31.6%
X · draw32.4%
2 · San Lorenzo Almagro36.0%

Model estimate: win Central Cordoba SdE 31.6%, draw 32.4%, win San Lorenzo Almagro 36.0%. Model favourite — San Lorenzo Almagro.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2San Lorenzo Almagro (odds2.37) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs San-Lorenso: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Central Cordoba SdE - San Lorenzo Almagro August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like San Lorenzo Almagro.

Strongest: San Lorenzo Almagro - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 2.85 / 2 2.56
  • 1X2 market: Central Cordoba SdE 30.3% / X 33.0% / San Lorenzo Almagro 36.7%
  • Glicko: Central Cordoba SdE 31.6% / X 32.4% / San Lorenzo Almagro 36.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1% 16 books · best price +4.7%
1 30.3%
X 33.1%
2 36.6%

Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 3.15 ↓ 1.04
1X2 X 2.95 ↑ 6.60
1X2 2 2.45 ↑ 93.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Profesional Argentina
League table
Central Cordoba SdE
#2519 ptsGP 195-4-1012:24
San Lorenzo Almagro
#1726 ptsGP 206-8-616:17
Best price across 14 books
1 3.37 Pinnacle
X 3.10 Betano
2 2.66 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Central Cordoba SdE
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.79 Conceded 1.80 xG 0.73 xGA 1.31 Corners 3.1
San Lorenzo Almagro
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.99 xG 0.87 xGA 1.03 Corners 4.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Central Cordoba SdE
Rating 1428 xG 1.00 Win 33%
San Lorenzo Almagro
Rating 1523 xG 1.08 Win 37%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Central Cordoba SdE 1 : 1 San Lorenzo Almagro
13.09
X3.00
22.52

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 01:31 UTC
1 31%
X 34%
2 35% ✓ favourite
Score0:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Draw (X) at 3.00
Per AI data H2H: 1-0
Claude updated04.08.2026 01:33 UTC
1 31%
X 35% ✓ favourite
2 34%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5 (Total Under 2.5 golov)

AI consensus:X

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 31% 34% 35% 0:0 Under 2.5 No Draw (X) at 3.00
Claude 31% 35% 34% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5 (Total Under 2.5 golov)

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Participant opinions
24 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 0
X 83% 5
2 16% 1
Double chance X2 1.37 (1)
handicap1 handicap2:0 1.70 (3) - handicap1:0 2.08 (1)
Total TM 0.5 5.85 (1) - TM 2 1.68 (1)
total_t1_under total_t1_over:1_5 3.62 (1) - total_t2_over:1_5 3.10 (1)
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 00:15 UTC
Market 1 30.3% @ 3.10 / X 33.0% @ 2.85 / 2 36.7% @ 2.56
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Draw 83%
🤖 7 AI models Draw 35%
📐 Math model San Lorenzo Almagro 36%
💹 Market San Lorenzo Almagro 3674%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Central Cordoba SdE - San Lorenzo Almagro

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Sentral Kordova - San-Lorenso, 4 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 3-y Round. Sentral Kordova - San-Lorenso, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 6 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 36.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.703 / LogLoss 1.154
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 36.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.703 / LogLoss 1.154
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Central Cordoba SdE 30.4% 31.6%
Draw 33.0% 32.4% draw risk
San Lorenzo Almagro 36.6% 36.0% market and model agree
xG - 1.00 : 1.08
1X2: 17 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.6% / 32.4% / 36.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,497 / 1,376 Central Cordoba SdE / Sportivo San Lorenzo
RD 168 / 255 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,162-1,833 / 867-1,885 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.56 market consensus · no value · model 36.0%
X 6.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 31.6%
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 67.6%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 64.0%
X2 8.00 Fonbet · weak value +447.6% · model 68.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.70 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.15 31.8% 3.08 32.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.13 32.0%
X 2.86 35.0% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.72 36.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.90 34.5%
2.48 40.3% 2.54 39.4% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.09 91.7% 1.59 62.9%
yes 5.80 17.2% 2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 8.00 12.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.75 17.4%
0_1 5.00 20.0%
0_2 9.00 11.1%
0_3 23.00 4.4%
0_4 61.00 1.6%
1_0 5.75 17.4%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 8.50 11.8%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 61.00 1.6%
2_0 12.00 8.3%
2_1 10.00 10.0%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 91.00 1.1%
3_0 34.00 2.9%
3_1 26.00 3.9%
3_2 41.00 2.4%
Match center
Lineup summary
  • 25 zsch Javier Vallejos
  • 33 zsch Santiago Moyano
  • 2 zsch Alejandro Maciel
  • 6 zsch Facundo Mansilla Zahir
  • 20 zsch Fernando Martinez
  • 22 pz Matias Vera
  • 10 pz Marcos Iacobellis
  • 18 pz Lucas Gonzalez
  • 7 pz Diego Barrera
  • 11 np Orasio Tikhanovich
Central Cordoba SdE

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

San Lorenzo Almagro

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-1-2, avg 1.2 gls
2026-08-04 · Sentral Kordoba SdE 1:0 San-Lorenso
2026-01-31 · Sentral Kordoba SdE 0:1 San-Lorenso
2025-11-23 · Sentral Kordoba SdE 2:1 San-Lorenso
2024-11-01 · Sentral Kordoba SdE 0:1 San-Lorenso
2023-06-12 · Sentral Kordoba SdE 0:0 San-Lorenso
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.05 (Pari) · X 2.85 (Pari) · 2 2.85 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.05 2.85 2.6
Winline 2.8 2.8 2.8
Fonbet 3.05 2.85 2.6
Betcity 2.85 2.75 2.85
Liga Stavok 2.8 2.8 2.8
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

41 Ball possession 59
10 Vsego udarov 12
7 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 9
11 Udary ot vorot 6
0 Blokirovannye udary 1
10 Shtrafnye 19
3 Corners 5
3 Offsides 0
13 Auty 29
2 Saves 6
16 Fouls 10
5 Cards total 3
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
1 Travmy 0
5 Substitutions 4
Source: ruscore
Central Cordoba SdE
L L L D W
2026-07-31 Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Central Cordoba SdE Central Cordoba SdE 0:2 Atletico Tucuman
2026-07-24 Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Central Cordoba SdE Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1:0 Central Cordoba SdE
2026-05-02 Primera LPF 2026, Apertura, Group A
Central Cordoba SdE Central Cordoba SdE 1:2 Boca Juniors
2026-04-24 Primera LPF 2026, Apertura, Group A
Central Cordoba SdE Lanus 0:0 Central Cordoba SdE
2026-04-20 Primera LPF 2026, Apertura, Group A
Central Cordoba SdE Central Cordoba SdE 4:3 Platense
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
San Lorenzo Almagro
W L D L D
2026-07-28 Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
San Lorenzo Almagro 1:0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza San Lorenzo Almagro
2026-07-26 Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Lanus 1:0 San Lorenzo Almagro San Lorenzo Almagro
2026-07-17 Copa Argentina 2026
San Lorenzo Almagro 1:1 Deportivo Riestra San Lorenzo Almagro
2026-05-27 CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group D
San Lorenzo Almagro 0:1 Deportivo Recoleta San Lorenzo Almagro
2026-05-20 CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group D
Santos SP 2:2 San Lorenzo Almagro San Lorenzo Almagro
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Central Cordoba SdE
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 San Lorenzo Almagro
Central Cordoba SdE Team comparison San Lorenzo Almagro
18 Games 19
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 6
11 Scored 17
24 Conceded 17
16 Points 25
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
6 Shots on goal 13
2.39 Udary v stvor 3.37
18 Games 19
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 6
11 Scored 17
24 Conceded 17

Sentral Kordova San-Lorenso 18 Games 19 4 Wins 6 4 Draws 7 10 Losses 6 11 Scored 17 24 Conceded 17 16 Points 25 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 6 Shots on goal 13 2.39 Udary v stvor 3.37 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.72 Uglovye 3.63 1.89 Offsaydy 1.05 11.28 Foly 12.95 41 % vladeniya myachom 49.32 2.67 Warnings 2.47 0.06 Sendoffs 0.16 Goly Michael Santos Santiago Moyano 1:0 32' Nakazaniya Diego Barrera 41' Matias Vera 50' Matias De Ritis 62' Santiago Moyano 63' Nikolas Tripichio 66' Yuri Casermeiro 81' Lucas Varaldo 90+2' Alexis Cuello 90+5'