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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
29.07.2026 19:00 UTC
29.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Independiente de la Chorrera (r) - Defensa y Justicia

Football
Independiente de la Chorrera (r)
Independiente de la Chorrera (r)
- : -
Not started
Defensa y Justicia
Defensa y Justicia
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Independiente de la Chorrera (r) — 68%

1 · Independiente de la Chorrera (r) ✓ Pick68.5%
X · draw16.0%
2 · Defensa y Justicia15.5%

Model estimate: win Independiente de la Chorrera (r) 68.5%, draw 16.0%, win Defensa y Justicia 15.5%. Model favourite — Independiente de la Chorrera (r).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Independiente de la Chorrera (r) (odds1.46) Score 2:0 confidence 68%
  • • Model backs Estudiantes: probability 68% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.46)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Independiente de la Chorrera (r) - Defensa y Justicia July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Independiente de la Chorrera (r) - Defensa y Justicia

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Independiente de la Chorrera (r) - 68.5% model pick
Draw - 16.0% draw risk
Defensa y Justicia - 15.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 68.5% / 16.0% / 15.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,605 / 1,160 Independiente de la Chorrera (r) / Defensa y Justicia
RD 181 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,243-1,966 / 578-1,742 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Independiente de la Chorrera (r)
W
26.07 18:15 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Independiente de la Chorrera (r) 2:1 IndependenteIndependente
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Defensa y Justicia
D D
29.07 18:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Defensa y Justicia 0:0 Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
23.07 22:45 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Defensa y Justicia 1:1 Aldosivi
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
2 Points