Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza face Union Santa Fe on August 1, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 3-0-2, Union Santa Fe 1-2-2. The market favourite is Union Santa Fe at roughly 38%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Union Santa Fe — 38%
Pure model vs market (2 · Union Santa Fe): model 31% · market 38% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 31.6%, draw 30.4%, win Union Santa Fe 37.9%. Model favourite — Union Santa Fe.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Santa Fe.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
score 2:0 · 71'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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football, Khimnasiya i Esgrima M - Union, 1 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Khimnasiya i Esgrima M - Union, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 3-y Round.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | |
| X | 2.98 33.6% | 3.16 31.7% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| 2.44 41.0% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.45 40.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.43 69.9% | 1.77 56.5% |
| yes | 2.60 38.5% | 1.97 50.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.32 75.8% | 11.00 9.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_4 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 1_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 2_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 3_0 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 3_1 | 23.00 4.4% |
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Full head-to-head historyGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza - Union Santa Fe
Khimnasiya and Esgrima M Union 18 Games 19 6 Wins 6 4 Draws 7 8 Losses 6 15 Scored 28 23 Conceded 25 22 Points 25 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13.67 Shots on goal 13.8 3.5 Udary v stvor 5.42 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.33 Uglovye 5.05 1 Offsaydy 1.95 11.17 Foly 11.05 42.94 % vladeniya myachom 48.68 2.28 Warnings 2.53 0.11 Sendoffs 0.05
The Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza - Union Santa Fe breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
