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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
29.07.2026 22:30 UTC
29.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Not started

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Instituto - Platense

Football
I
Instituto
- : -
Not started
P
Platense
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Instituto — 44%

Pure model vs market (1 · Instituto): model 39% · market 44% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Instituto44.3%
X · draw31.7%
2 · Platense24.0%

Model estimate: win Instituto 44.3%, draw 31.7%, win Platense 24.0%. Model favourite — Instituto.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Instituto (odds2.11) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Instituto: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.11)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Instituto - Platense July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Instituto.

Line favourite market consensus: Instituto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 2.90 / 2 4.04
  • 1X2 market: Instituto 44.4% / X 32.4% / Platense 23.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 44.4%
X 32.3%
2 23.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Instituto 1 : 1 Platense
12.08
X2.91
24.38

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated28.07.2026 23:50 UTC
1 43% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 24%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-2
Claude updated29.07.2026 00:03 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 34%
2 24%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-1-3
Qwen updated28.07.2026 23:58 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated29.07.2026 00:18 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 25%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 43% 33% 24% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X and Under 2.5
Claude 42% 34% 24% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 42% 33% 25% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 22:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Instituto 51%
📐 Math model Instituto 44%
💹 Market Instituto 4443%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Instituto - Platense

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Instituto 44.6% 44.3% market and model agree
Draw 32.3% 31.7% draw risk
Platense 23.1% 24.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.3% / 31.7% / 24.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,400 / 1,500 Instituto / Platense
RD 291 / 255 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 818-1,982 / 991-2,010 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.09 market consensus · no value · model 24.0%
X 2.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.10 market consensus · no value · model 44.3%
Double chance
12 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 68.3%
1X 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 76.0%
X2 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 55.7%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.86 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.54 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.14 46.7% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%
X 2.88 34.7% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.87 34.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
3.90 25.6% 4.12 24.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.54 64.9%
yes 2.38 42.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8%
x2 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.75 17.4%
0_1 6.50 15.4%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 46.00 2.2%
1_0 4.50 22.2%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 11.00 9.1%
1_3 34.00 2.9%
1_4 101.00 1.0%
2_0 7.50 13.3%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 46.00 2.2%
3_0 17.00 5.9%
3_1 17.00 5.9%
3_2 34.00 2.9%
3_3 81.00 1.2%
4_0 46.00 2.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-1-3, avg 1.8 gls
2026-01-26 · Instituto 1:2 Platense
2025-08-10 · Instituto 1:1 Platense
2025-02-09 · Instituto 0:1 Platense
2024-08-11 · Instituto 2:0 Platense
2023-04-07 · Instituto 0:1 Platense
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.87 (Pari) · X 3.15 (Liga Stavok) · 2 5.8 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.87 3 5.1
Winline 1.76 3.1 5.6
Fonbet 1.87 3 5.1
Betcity 1.8 3.1 5.4
Liga Stavok 1.73 3.15 5.8
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Instituto
L
24.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Instituto 0:1 Veles Sarsfild
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Platense
D
24.07 22:15 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Platense 2:2 Union Santa-Fe
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInstituto - Platense

Instituto
0 matches total
Platense
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history