Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Khimnasiya i Esgrima - River Plate
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 River Plate — 47%
Pure model vs market (2 · River Plate): model 51% · market 46% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Khimnasiya i Esgrima 22.9%, draw 30.2%, win River Plate 46.8%. Model favourite — River Plate.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs River Pleyt: probability 62% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Khimnasiya i Esgrima - River Plate July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like River Plate.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.04 / X 3.02 / 2 2.03
- 1X2 market: Khimnasiya i Esgrima 23.2% / X 30.9% / River Plate 45.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 22% | 32% | 46% | 0:1 | Under 2.5 | No | X2 and Under 2.5 |
| Claude | 27% | 33% | 40% | 1:1 | Under 2.5 | No | Under 2.5 |
| Qwen | 78% | 15% | 7% | 2:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Win DAC Dunayska Streda |
| Kimi | 25% | 31% | 44% | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| GLM 5.2 | 25% | 30% | 45% | 1:1 | Under 2.5 | Yes | 1X |
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Khimnasiya i Esgrima - River Plate
Football, Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP - River Pleyt, 30 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP - River Pleyt, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 2 round.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.70 27.0% | 4.22 23.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% | |
| X | 3.05 32.8% | 3.06 32.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.13 32.0% |
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.64 61.0% |
| yes | 2.18 45.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.77 56.5% | 1.84 54.4% |
| x2 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 0_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 2_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 3_0 | 41.00 2.4% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.95 | 3.05 | 2.05 |
| Winline | 3.85 | 3.05 | 2.07 |
| Fonbet | 3.95 | 3.05 | 2.05 |
| Betcity | 3.9 | 3 | 2.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.95 | 3.1 | 2.03 |
Rasing
River Plate
Barrakas Sentral
Full head-to-head historyKhimnasiya i Esgrima - River Plate
Match history
Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP River Pleyt 19 Games 21 9 Wins 12 2 Draws 2 8 Losses 7 21 Scored 29 23 Conceded 18 29 Points 38 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9.75 Shots on goal 15 3.53 Udary v stvor 4.81 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.95 Uglovye 5.48 1.79 Offsaydy 1.48 11.37 Foly 11.62 45.84 % vladeniya myachom 65.1 3.16 Warnings 2.43 0.16 Sendoffs 0.14 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery No dannykh Glavnye trenery Eduardo Koudet Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 8% 50% 42% Double chance 29% 25% 46% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1291296' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form