Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Lanus meet Instituto Cordoba on August 2, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lanus 1-0-0, Instituto Cordoba 1-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Lanus — 52%
Model estimate: win Lanus 51.7%, draw 19.6%, win Instituto Cordoba 28.7%. Model favourite — Lanus.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.54 64.9% |
| yes | 2.38 42.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% |
| x2 | 1.74 57.5% | 1.72 58.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.88 34.7% | |
| X | 1.89 52.9% |
| 4.93 20.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.21 45.3% |
San-Lorenso
Full head-to-head historyLanus - Instituto Cordoba
The Lanus - Instituto Cordoba breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
