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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Clausura. 3-y Round 03.08.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 00:30 UTC Clausura. 3-y Round
Finished

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Lanus - Instituto Cordoba

Football
Lanus
Lanus
0 : 0
Finished
Instituto Cordoba
Instituto Cordoba

Lanus meet Instituto Cordoba on August 3, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lanus 3-0-2, Instituto Cordoba 3-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Lanus, an implied 45% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Lanus — 45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Lanus): model 44% · market 45% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Lanus44.6%
X · draw31.1%
2 · Instituto Cordoba24.3%

Model estimate: win Lanus 44.6%, draw 31.1%, win Instituto Cordoba 24.3%. Model favourite — Lanus.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Lanus (odds2.37) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Lanus: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lanus - Instituto Cordoba August 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lanus.

Strongest: Lanus - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 2.98 / 2 3.94
  • 1X2 market: Lanus 44.7% / X 31.5% / Instituto Cordoba 23.8%
  • Glicko: Lanus 44.6% / X 31.1% / Instituto Cordoba 24.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 44.7%
X 31.5%
2 23.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Profesional Argentina
League table
Lanus
#1427 ptsGP 197-6-619:18
Instituto Cordoba
#1527 ptsGP 198-3-820:19
Best price across 14 books
1 2.18 SBO
X 3.10 1xBet
2 4.16 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Lanus
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 0.89 Conceded 0.50 xG 1.17 xGA 0.86 Corners 3.6
Instituto Cordoba
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.00 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.03 xGA 1.01 Corners 5.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Lanus
Rating 1524 xG 1.19 Win 42%
Instituto Cordoba
Rating 1492 xG 0.93 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lanus 1 : 1 Instituto Cordoba
12.09
X3.11
23.97

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
15 predictions Choose an outcome
1 100% 6
X 0% 0
2 0% 0
Total TB 1.5 1.59 (2) - TB 2 2.03 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 2.26 (1)
handicap1 handicap1:0 1.44 (1)
total_t1_under total_t1_over:1_5 2.63 (1)
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 44.7% @ 2.10 / X 31.5% @ 2.98 / 2 23.8% @ 3.94
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Lanus 100%
📐 Math model Lanus 45%
💹 Market Lanus 4469%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Lanus - Instituto Cordoba

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Lanus - Instituto, 3 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 3-y Round. Lanus - Instituto, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 6 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

7/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 44.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.734 / LogLoss 1.170
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 44.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.734 / LogLoss 1.170
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lanus 44.7% 44.6% market and model agree
Draw 31.6% 31.1% draw risk
Instituto Cordoba 23.8% 24.3%
xG - 1.19 : 0.93
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.6% / 31.1% / 24.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,505 Lanus / Instituto Cordoba
RD 350 / 244 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,017-1,994 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.95 market consensus · no value · model 24.3%
X 1.04 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.10 market consensus · no value · model 44.6%
Double chance
12 8.00 Fonbet · weak value +451.6% · model 68.9%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 75.7%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 55.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.12 47.2% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%
X 2.95 33.9% 3.12 32.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
3.85 26.0% 3.99 25.1% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.57 63.7%
yes 11.50 8.7% 2.31 43.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 8.00 12.5%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.75 17.4%
0_1 6.50 15.4%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 46.00 2.2%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 4.50 22.2%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 11.00 9.1%
1_3 34.00 2.9%
1_4 101.00 1.0%
2_0 7.00 14.3%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 51.00 2.0%
3_0 17.00 5.9%
3_1 17.00 5.9%
3_2 34.00 2.9%
3_3 91.00 1.1%
Match center
Lanus
L W W L W
2026-07-30 CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Knockout stage
Lanus Cienciano 4:0 Lanus
2026-07-26 Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Lanus Lanus 1:0 San Lorenzo Almagro
2026-07-23 CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Knockout stage
Lanus Lanus 2:0 Cienciano
2026-05-30 Copa Argentina 2026
Lanus Instituto Cordoba 2:1 Lanus
2026-05-26 CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group G
Lanus Lanus 1:0 Mirassol
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Instituto Cordoba
W L W W D
2026-07-30 Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Instituto Cordoba 2:1 Platense Instituto Cordoba
2026-07-24 Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Velez Sarsfield 1:0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
2026-05-30 Copa Argentina 2026
Instituto Cordoba 2:1 Lanus Instituto Cordoba
2026-05-05 Primera LPF 2026, Apertura, Group A
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:2 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
2026-04-26 Primera LPF 2026, Apertura, Group A
Newell's Old Boys 1:1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLanus - Instituto Cordoba

Lanus
1 matches total
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Instituto Cordoba: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Instituto Cordoba 2:1 (2026-05-30) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 2026-05-30) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

2026-05-30 Copa Argentina 2026
Instituto Cordoba 2:1 Lanus
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Lanus
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Instituto Cordoba
Lanus Team comparison Instituto Cordoba
18 Games 18
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 3
5 Losses 8
19 Scored 19
17 Conceded 19
27 Points 24
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
21 Shots on goal 17
3.67 Udary v stvor 4
18 Games 18
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 3
5 Losses 8
19 Scored 19
17 Conceded 19

Lanus Instituto 18 Games 18 7 Wins 7 6 Draws 3 5 Losses 8 19 Scored 19 17 Conceded 19 27 Points 24 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 21 Shots on goal 17 3.67 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.56 Uglovye 5 1.72 Offsaydy 1.61 11.28 Foly 13.06 45.56 % vladeniya myachom 45.33 2.72 Warnings 2.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Fernando Alarkon Gaston Lodico 0:1 90+2' Nakazaniya Khonatan Galvan 10' Matias Sepulveda 28' Giuliano Cerato 42' Fernando Alarkon 86'