Match center
Start
30.07.2026 20:15 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
30.07.2026 20:15 UTC
Finished
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
River Plate - Rosario Central
0
:
2
Finished
R
Rosario Central
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 River Plate — 69%
Model estimate: win River Plate 69.4%, draw 17.0%, win Rosario Central 13.6%. Model favourite — River Plate.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction River Plate - Rosario Central July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: River Plate 69.4% / X 17.0% / Rosario Central 13.6%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
15.00
↑ 24.00
1X2 X
4.60
↑ 5.10
1X2 2
1.23
↓ 1.17
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
River Plate - Rosario Central
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 69.4% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.257 / LogLoss 1.995
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 69.4% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.257 / LogLoss 1.995
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 69.4% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.257 / LogLoss 1.995
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 69.4% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.257 / LogLoss 1.995
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
River Plate
3.8%
69.4%
Glicko contrarian
Draw
18.0%
17.0%
draw risk
Rosario Central
78.2%
13.6%
market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
69.4% / 17.0% / 13.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,553 / 1,271
River Plate / Rosario Central
RD
140 / 240
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,272-1,833 / 791-1,750
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.17
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 13.6%
X
5.10
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12
1.13
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 83.0%
1X
4.20
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 86.4%
X2
1.02
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 30.6%
Handicap
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
7.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.05
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.23
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.23 81.3% |
| yes | 3.60 27.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 4.20 23.8% |
| x2 | 1.02 98.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 3.70 27.0% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | |
| 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 7.00 14.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 10.00 10.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
Match center
River Plate
L
W
River Plate
0:1
Khimnasiya i Esgrima
River Plate
4:0
Barrakas Sentral
Barrakas Sentral
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
3
Points
Rosario Central
D
D
Rosario Central
0:0
Rasing
Rasing
Rosario Central
1:1
Belgrano
0
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
0.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
2
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRiver Plate - Rosario Central
River Plate
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The River Plate - Rosario Central breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form