Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Clausura. 2-y Round 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

28.07.2026 20:00 UTC Clausura. 2-y Round

Finished

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Football

Sportivo San Lorenzo

1 : 3

Finished

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sportivo San Lorenzo — 46%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sportivo San Lorenzo): model 40% · market 47% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sportivo San Lorenzo46.4%

X · draw30.2%

2 · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza23.3%

Model estimate: win Sportivo San Lorenzo 46.4%, draw 30.2%, win Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 23.3%. Model favourite — Sportivo San Lorenzo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sportivo San Lorenzo (odds2.32) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs San-Lorenso: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.32)
• edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sportivo San Lorenzo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sportivo San Lorenzo.

Strongest: Sportivo San Lorenzo - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.05 / 2 4.19
1X2 market: Sportivo San Lorenzo 46.8% / X 30.8% / Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 22.4%
Glicko: Sportivo San Lorenzo 46.4% / X 30.2% / Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 23.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%

1 46.8%

X 30.8%

2 22.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sportivo San Lorenzo 1 : 1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

12.03

X3.13

24.17

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Sportivo San Lorenzo 46%

💹 Market Sportivo San Lorenzo 4677%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Football, San-Lorenso - Khimnasiya and Esgrima M, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches San-Lorenso - Khimnasiya and Esgrima M, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 2 round.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:3

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 46.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.895 / LogLoss 1.455

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 46.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.895 / LogLoss 1.455

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sportivo San Lorenzo 46.9% 46.4% market and model agree

Draw 30.7% 30.2% draw risk

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 22.4% 23.3%

1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 46.4% / 30.2% / 23.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,481 / 1,569 Sportivo San Lorenzo / Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

RD 291 / 279 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 898-2,063 / 1,010-2,128 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.20 market consensus · no value · model 23.3%

X 3.05 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.00 market consensus · no value · model 46.4%

Double chance

12 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 69.8%

1X 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 76.7%

X2 1.76 market consensus · no value · model 53.6%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.82 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.39 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.64 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.59 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.28 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.96 51.0%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.13 32.0%
	4.20 23.8%	4.22 23.7%	4.33 23.1%	4.25 23.5%	4.33 23.1%	4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.59 62.9%
yes	2.28 43.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.35 74.1%	1.34 74.6%
1x	1.19 84.0%	1.21 82.6%
x2	1.77 56.5%	1.74 57.5%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	6.25 16.0%
0_1	7.00 14.3%
0_2	17.00 5.9%
0_3	51.00 2.0%
0_4	126.00 0.8%
1_0	4.50 22.2%
1_1	5.25 19.1%
1_2	12.00 8.3%
1_3	41.00 2.4%
1_4	101.00 1.0%
2_0	6.50 15.4%
2_1	7.50 13.3%
2_2	17.00 5.9%
2_3	51.00 2.0%
3_0	13.00 7.7%
3_1	15.00 6.7%
3_2	34.00 2.9%
3_3	81.00 1.2%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 1.0 gls

2026-01-27 · San-Lorenso 1:0 Khimnasiya i Esgrima Mendosa

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.16 (Betcity) · X 2.95 (Pari) · 2 4.5 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.98	2.95	4.5
Winline	2.14	2.9	3.9
Fonbet	1.98	2.95	4.5
Betcity	2.16	2.9	3.9
Liga Stavok	2.09	2.95	4

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Sportivo San Lorenzo

25.07 22:30 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings

Sportivo San Lorenzo 0:1 Lanus

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

0 Points

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

24.07 17:45 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1:0 Sentral Kordoba

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySportivo San Lorenzo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Sportivo San Lorenzo

0 matches total

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Sportivo San Lorenzo

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

18 Games 17

5 Wins 6

7 Draws 4

6 Losses 7

16 Scored 15

17 Conceded 22

22 Points 22

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

13.33 Shots on goal 15

3.28 Udary v stvor 3.59

18 Games 17

5 Wins 6

7 Draws 4

6 Losses 7

16 Scored 15

17 Conceded 22

San-Lorenso Khimnasiya and Esgrima M 18 Games 17 5 Wins 6 7 Draws 4 6 Losses 7 16 Scored 15 17 Conceded 22 Points 22 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13.33 Shots on goal 15 3.28 Udary v stvor 3.59 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.61 Uglovye 3.24 0.94 Offsaydy 1.06 13.11 Foly 11 49.17 % vladeniya myachom 42.65 2.61 Warnings 2.18 0.17 Sendoffs 0.12 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Nestor Raul Gorosito Nestor Raul Gorosito Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 20% 50% 30% Double chance 35% 25% 40% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1291280' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings