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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
31.07.2026 17:45 UTC
31.07.2026 17:45 UTC
Not started

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Sarmiento - Independiente Rivadavia

Football
S
Sarmiento
- : -
Not started
Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente Rivadavia
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Independiente Rivadavia — 60%

1 · Sarmiento22.5%
X · draw17.5%
2 · Independiente Rivadavia ✓ Pick60.0%

Model estimate: win Sarmiento 22.5%, draw 17.5%, win Independiente Rivadavia 60.0%. Model favourite — Independiente Rivadavia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Independiente Rivadavia (odds2.04) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Independente Rivadaviya: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sarmiento - Independiente Rivadavia July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

Sarmiento - Independiente Rivadavia

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sarmiento - 22.5%
Draw - 17.5% draw risk
Independiente Rivadavia - 60.0% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 22.5% / 17.5% / 60.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,210 / 1,616 Sarmiento / Independiente Rivadavia
RD 237 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 736-1,684 / 1,118-2,114 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Sarmiento
L L
28.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Sarmiento 2:3 Banfild
23.07 20:30 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Sarmiento 2:3 Argentinos Khuniors
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Independiente Rivadavia
W D
30.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Independiente Rivadavia 2:1 Atletiko KhurakanAtletiko Khurakan
26.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Independiente Rivadavia 0:0 Atletiko Tukuman
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points