Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Central Cordoba SdE - Atletico Tucuman
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Central Cordoba SdE — 48%
Model estimate: win Central Cordoba SdE 48.5%, draw 20.4%, win Atletico Tucuman 31.1%. Model favourite — Central Cordoba SdE.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • liniya na pik P2 2.75→5.10 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
- • Model backs Atletiko Tukuman: probability 50% vs 20% on the line (odds 5.10)
- • edge over the line +30 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1
- • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 1.09)
- • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.20).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Central Cordoba SdE - Atletico Tucuman July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Central Cordoba SdE 48.5% / X 20.4% / Atletico Tucuman 31.1%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Central Cordoba SdE - Atletico Tucuman
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 11.00 9.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.22 82.0% | |
| 5.40 18.5% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | |
| 3.70 27.0% | |
| 1.10 90.9% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 9.50 10.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 6.20 16.1% |
| Over 4.5 | 7.80 12.8% |
| Over 5.5 | 10.50 9.5% |
| Over 6.5 | 10.50 9.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 4.20 23.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
Central Cordoba SdE
Independente Rivadaviya
Full head-to-head historyCentral Cordoba SdE - Atletico Tucuman
Match history
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The Central Cordoba SdE - Atletico Tucuman breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form