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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
29.07.2026 22:15 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 22:15 UTC
Finished

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Central Cordoba SdE - Atletico Tucuman

Football
Central Cordoba SdE
Central Cordoba SdE
1 : 1
Finished
A
Atletico Tucuman
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Atletico Tucuman — 39%

Pure model vs market (2 · Atletico Tucuman): model 36% · market 39% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Central Cordoba SdE30.2%
X · draw31.1%
2 · Atletico Tucuman38.8%

Model estimate: win Central Cordoba SdE 30.2%, draw 31.1%, win Atletico Tucuman 38.8%. Model favourite — Atletico Tucuman.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Atletico Tucuman (odds5.10) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds1.09) ✓ Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.20) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • liniya na pik P2 2.75→5.10 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Atletiko Tukuman: probability 50% vs 20% on the line (odds 5.10)
  • • edge over the line +30 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.09)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.20).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Central Cordoba SdE - Atletico Tucuman July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Tucuman.

Strongest: Atletico Tucuman - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.17 / X 2.97 / 2 2.41
  • 1X2 market: Central Cordoba SdE 29.5% / X 31.5% / Atletico Tucuman 38.9%
  • Glicko: Central Cordoba SdE 30.2% / X 31.1% / Atletico Tucuman 38.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 29.6%
X 31.6%
2 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 13.00 ↓ 1.01
1X2 X 1.53 ↑ 15.00
1X2 2 2.75 ↑ 26.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 22:15 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Atletico Tucuman 39%
💹 Market Atletico Tucuman 3893%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Central Cordoba SdE - Atletico Tucuman

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 38.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.716 / LogLoss 1.168
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 38.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.716 / LogLoss 1.168
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Central Cordoba SdE 29.5% 30.2%
Draw 31.6% 31.1% draw risk
Atletico Tucuman 38.9% 38.8% market and model agree
1X2: 14 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.2% / 31.1% / 38.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,458 / 1,525 Central Cordoba SdE / Atletico Tucuman
RD 181 / 281 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,095-1,820 / 963-2,088 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.41 market consensus · no value · model 38.8%
X 2.97 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.17 market consensus · no value · model 30.2%
Double chance
12 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 68.9%
1X 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 61.2%
X2 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 69.8%
Handicap
2 0 1.64 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.20 31.3% 3.22 31.1% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8%
X 2.98 33.6% 3.02 33.1% 3.10 32.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.36 42.4% 2.44 41.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.38 72.5%
1x 1.51 66.2%
x2 1.32 75.8%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.25 16.0%
0_1 5.25 19.1%
0_2 8.50 11.8%
0_3 19.00 5.3%
0_4 56.00 1.8%
1_0 6.25 16.0%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 19.00 5.3%
1_4 51.00 2.0%
2_0 12.00 8.3%
2_1 9.50 10.5%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 76.00 1.3%
3_0 34.00 2.9%
3_1 26.00 3.9%
3_2 34.00 2.9%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
2.17 46.1%
1.64 61.0%
Match center
Central Cordoba SdE
L
24.07 17:45 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Central Cordoba SdE 0:1 Khimnasiya Mendosa
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Atletico Tucuman
D
26.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Atletico Tucuman 0:0 Independente RivadaviyaIndependente Rivadaviya
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points