Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Central Cordoba de Santiago - San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago go head-to-head with San Lorenzo on August 3, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-1-1, San Lorenzo 0-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 San Lorenzo — 37%
Pure model vs market (2 · San Lorenzo): model 32% · market 37% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Central Cordoba de Santiago 31.0%, draw 31.9%, win San Lorenzo 37.1%. Model favourite — San Lorenzo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs San-Lorenso: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Central Cordoba de Santiago - San Lorenzo August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.18 / X 2.90 / 2 2.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Central Cordoba de Santiago - San Lorenzo
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.63 61.4% |
| yes | 2.19 45.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.38 72.5% |
| 1x | 1.47 68.0% | 1.46 68.5% |
| x2 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.05 24.7% | |
| X | 1.84 54.4% |
| 3.43 29.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.21 45.3% |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Atletiko Tukuman
Khimnasiya Mendosa
San Lorenzo
Khimnasiya Mendosa
Full head-to-head historyCentral Cordoba de Santiago - San Lorenzo
Match history
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The Central Cordoba de Santiago - San Lorenzo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form