Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Central Cordoba de Santiago meet San Lorenzo on August 4, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-1-1, San Lorenzo 0-0-2. The bookmaker line makes San Lorenzo the favourite at about 38%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 San Lorenzo — 37%
Pure model vs market (2 · San Lorenzo): model 32% · market 38% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Central Cordoba de Santiago 30.5%, draw 32.0%, win San Lorenzo 37.5%. Model favourite — San Lorenzo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like San Lorenzo.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 2.86 35.0% | 3.06 32.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% |
| 2.46 40.7% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.45 40.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.38 72.5% |
| 1x | 1.51 66.2% | 1.46 68.5% |
| x2 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.36 73.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 0_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_4 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 1_4 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 2_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 3_0 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 3_1 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_2 | 41.00 2.4% |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Atletiko Tukuman
Khimnasiya Mendosa
San Lorenzo
Khimnasiya Mendosa
Lanus
Full head-to-head historyCentral Cordoba de Santiago - San Lorenzo
Sentral Kordova San-Lorenso 18 Games 19 4 Wins 6 4 Draws 7 10 Losses 6 11 Scored 17 24 Conceded 17 16 Points 25 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 6 Shots on goal 13 2.39 Udary v stvor 3.37 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.72 Uglovye 3.63 1.89 Offsaydy 1.05 11.28 Foly 12.95 41 % vladeniya myachom 49.32 2.67 Warnings 2.47 0.06 Sendoffs 0.16 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery No dannykh Glavnye trenery Nestor Raul Gorosito Nestor Raul Gorosito Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 0% 100% 0% Double chance 50% 0% 50% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1291268' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings
The Central Cordoba de Santiago - San Lorenzo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
