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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

30.07.2026 20:00 UTC

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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Talleres Cordoba - Velez Sarsfield

Football

Talleres Cordoba

- : -

Not started

Velez Sarsfield

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Talleres Cordoba — 40%

Pure model vs market (1 · Talleres Cordoba): model 39% · market 38% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Talleres Cordoba39.8%

X · draw32.6%

2 · Velez Sarsfield27.7%

Model estimate: win Talleres Cordoba 39.8%, draw 32.6%, win Velez Sarsfield 27.7%. Model favourite — Talleres Cordoba.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Talleres Cordoba (odds2.11) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Taleres Kordoba: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.11)
• edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Talleres Cordoba - Velez Sarsfield July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Talleres Cordoba.

Line favourite market consensus: Talleres Cordoba. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 2.84 / 2 3.19
1X2 market: Talleres Cordoba 37.6% / X 33.1% / Velez Sarsfield 29.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%

1 37.5%

X 33.0%

2 29.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Talleres Cordoba 1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield

12.59

X2.77

23.28

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 20:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Talleres Cordoba 40%

💹 Market Talleres Cordoba 3757%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Talleres Cordoba - Velez Sarsfield

Football, Taleres - Veles Sarsfild, 31 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Taleres - Veles Sarsfild, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 2 round.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Talleres Cordoba 39.8% 39.8% market and model agree

Draw 33.2% 32.6% draw risk

Velez Sarsfield 27.0% 27.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 39.8% / 32.6% / 27.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,500 / 1,600 Talleres Cordoba / Velez Sarsfield

RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,018-2,182 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.20 market consensus · no value · model 27.7%

X 2.82 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.50 market consensus · no value · model 39.8%

Double chance

12 1.43 market consensus · no value · model 67.4%

1X 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 72.3%

X2 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 60.2%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.11 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.67 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.70 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.63 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.19 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.52 39.7%	2.59 38.6%	2.60 38.5%	2.60 38.5%	2.45 40.8%	2.50 40.0%
X	2.84 35.2%	2.78 36.0%	2.80 35.7%	2.82 35.5%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%
	3.15 31.8%	3.26 30.7%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.63 61.4%
yes	2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.42 70.4%	1.43 69.9%
1x	1.29 77.5%	1.29 77.5%
x2	1.48 67.6%	1.49 67.1%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	5.75 17.4%
0_1	6.00 16.7%
0_2	12.00 8.3%
0_3	31.00 3.2%
0_4	91.00 1.1%
1_0	5.25 19.1%
1_1	5.00 20.0%
1_2	9.50 10.5%
1_3	26.00 3.9%
1_4	76.00 1.3%
2_0	9.00 11.1%
2_1	8.50 11.8%
2_2	15.00 6.7%
2_3	34.00 2.9%
2_4	101.00 1.0%
3_0	21.00 4.8%
3_1	19.00 5.3%
3_2	34.00 2.9%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-4, avg 2.2 gls

2026-01-27 · Taleres Kordova 1:2 Veles Sarsfild

2025-11-01 · Taleres Kordova 1:0 Veles Sarsfild

2025-04-18 · Taleres Kordova 0:1 Veles Sarsfild

2024-07-21 · Taleres Kordova 0:3 Veles Sarsfild

2023-03-06 · Taleres Kordova 1:2 Veles Sarsfild

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.35 (Pari) · X 2.9 (Betcity) · 2 3.95 (Liga Stavok)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.35	2.7	3.65
Winline	2.17	2.85	3.85
Fonbet	2.35	2.7	3.65
Betcity	2.16	2.9	3.9
Liga Stavok	2.12	2.9	3.95

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Talleres Cordoba

25.07 18:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings

Talleres Cordoba 1:0 Nyuells Old Boys

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Velez Sarsfield

24.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings

Velez Sarsfield 1:0 Instituto

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTalleres Cordoba - Velez Sarsfield

Talleres Cordoba

0 matches total

Velez Sarsfield

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Talleres Cordoba

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Velez Sarsfield

18 Games 18

7 Wins 8

5 Draws 7

6 Losses 3

17 Scored 19

15 Conceded 13

26 Points 31

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

13.33 Shots on goal 15

4.22 Shots on target 4

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Taleres Veles Sarsfild 18 Games 18 7 Wins 8 5 Draws 7 6 Losses 3 17 Scored 19 15 Conceded 13 26 Points 31 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13.33 Shots on goal 15 4.22 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.78 Uglovye 4.17 1.17 Offsaydy 1.11.33 Foly 10.72 53.67 % vladeniya myachom 55.28 2.28 Warnings 2.33 0.17 Sendoffs 0.06 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Khorkhe Sampaoli Glavnye trenery Gilermo Barros Skelotto Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 0% 25% 75% Double chance 13% 37% 50% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1291302' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings